WON Case WON Al Wehdat 3-0 Shabab Al Ordon
Fixture Case File · Ref V
A

Al Wehdat

Home Side
W W W W D
7W 1D 2L ▲ Trending Up
VS
3-0
S
Shabab Al Ordon
Away Side
L D L W L
6W 1D 2L ▲ Trending Up
MODERATE
59%
Tuesday, 14th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Al Wehdat to win
Al Wehdat 50%
Draw 30%
Shabab Al Ordon 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob80%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-21%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBA<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<A<<O<<<<<<44F1644954DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 14 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Al Wehdat to win
1.25
Under 2.5 Goals74% BTTS — No75%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Al Wehdat vs Shabab Al Ordon Competition: Jordan Premier League Date: Tuesday, 14th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Wehdat to win) Odds: 1.25 Confidence: 59% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (74%) Also: BTTS — No (75%) Ledger Ref: 44F164495
Head to Head
Record
6
Al Wehdat
3
Draws
1
Shabab Al Ordon
10
Meetings
1.7
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Al Wehdat won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Wehdat
Metric
Shabab Al Ordon
2.3
Goals For / Game
0
0.9
Goals Against / Game
0
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
7-1-2
W — D — L
6-1-2
Win Rate
70%
67%
1.7
Avg Goals
47%
Over 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
A0
0-0 20.2%
0-1 9.1%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 23.2%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 2.4%
1-3 0.4%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 13.4%
2-1 6.0%
2-2 1.4%
2-3 0.2%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 5.1%
3-1 2.3%
3-2 0.5%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 0.7%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(23.2%) 2-0(13.4%) 2-1(6.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Wehdat Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Shabab Al Ordon Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Wehdat
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.7
Defence
7.0
Shabab Al Ordon
Overall
7.0
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 34%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
29.01.26
Premier League: Shabab Al-Ordon1
Al-Wehdat0
11.10.25
Shield Cup: Shabab Al-Ordon0
Al-Wehdat0
15.08.25
Premier League: Al-Wehdat3
Shabab Al-Ordon0
04.04.25
Premier League: Al-Wehdat1
Shabab Al-Ordon1
11.11.24
Shield Cup: Shabab Al-Ordon1
Al-Wehdat1
17.10.24
Premier League: Shabab Al-Ordon0
Al-Wehdat2
23.06.24
FA Cup: Shabab Al-Ordon0
Al-Wehdat1
26.04.24
Premier League: Shabab Al-Ordon0
Al-Wehdat3
28.10.23
Premier League: Al-Wehdat2
Shabab Al-Ordon0
02.07.23
Shield Cup: Al-Wehdat1
Shabab Al-Ordon0
Recent Form
Al Wehdat
09.04.26
Premier League: Al-Baqa’a1
Al-Wehdat5
W
04.04.26
Premier League: Al-Wehdat1
Al-Faisaly Amman0
W
18.03.26
Premier League: Sama Al Sarhan0
Al-Wehdat6
W
14.03.26
Premier League: Al-Wehdat3
Al-Hussein1
W
08.03.26
Premier League: Al-Ramtha1
Al-Wehdat1
D
03.03.26
Premier League: Al-Baqa’a3
Al-Wehdat1
L
26.02.26
Premier League: Al-Wehdat2
Al-Salt1
W
21.02.26
Premier League: Al-Hussein2
Al-Wehdat0
L
13.02.26
Premier League: Al-Wehdat2
Al-Jazeera Amman0
W
07.02.26
Premier League: Al-Faisaly Amman0
Al-Wehdat2
W
Shabab Al Ordon
09.04.26
Premier League: Al-Baqa’a1
Al-Wehdat5
W
04.04.26
Premier League: Al-Wehdat1
Al-Faisaly Amman0
W
18.03.26
Premier League: Sama Al Sarhan0
Al-Wehdat6
W
14.03.26
Premier League: Al-Wehdat3
Al-Hussein1
W
08.03.26
Premier League: Al-Ramtha1
Al-Wehdat1
D
03.03.26
Premier League: Al-Baqa’a3
Al-Wehdat1
L
26.02.26
Premier League: Al-Wehdat2
Al-Salt1
W
21.02.26
Premier League: Al-Hussein2
Al-Wehdat0
L
13.02.26
Premier League: Al-Wehdat2
Al-Jazeera Amman0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 14th April 2026, Al Wehdat host Shabab Al Ordon in Jordan Premier League. Our analysis desk recommends Al Wehdat to win as the standout selection.

Al Wehdat arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Shabab Al Ordon are travelling well, with a record of 6W 1D 2L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Wehdat, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Shabab Al Ordon's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al wehdat to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Jordan Premier League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.25. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 14 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Wehdat vs Shabab Al Ordon?
Our selection is 1 — Al Wehdat to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Al Wehdat's current form?
Al Wehdat have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shabab Al Ordon been performing recently?
Shabab Al Ordon have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Wehdat lead with 6 wins versus Shabab Al Ordon's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
⚠️
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