LOST Case LOST Al Qanah 1-2 El Daklyeh
Fixture Case File · Ref V
A

Al Qanah

Home Side
W W W D W
8W 2D 0L ▼ Trending Down
VS
1-2
E
El Daklyeh
Away Side
L L L D D
0W 4D 6L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
56%
Thursday, 16th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Al Qanah to win
Al Qanah 60%
Draw 20%
El Daklyeh 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob78.1%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-22.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBA<<Q<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<E<<D<<<<<<<<<<<<<1FECAC3284DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 16 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Al Qanah to win
1.28
Al Qanah Clean Sheet70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Al Qanah vs El Daklyeh Competition: Egypt Division 2 A Date: Thursday, 16th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Qanah to win) Odds: 1.28 Confidence: 56% Also: Al Qanah Clean Sheet (70%) Ledger Ref: 1FECAC328
Head to Head
Record
1
Al Qanah
2
Draws
2
El Daklyeh
5
Meetings
1.6
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Al Qanah won 1 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Qanah
Metric
El Daklyeh
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.3
Goals Against / Game
1.9
70%
Clean Sheets
20%
8-2-0
W — D — L
0-4-6
Win Rate
80%
0%
2.4
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
A0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 1.0%
0-3 0.1%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 18.1%
1-1 8.2%
1-2 1.8%
1-3 0.3%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 17.2%
2-1 7.8%
2-2 1.7%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 10.9%
3-1 4.9%
3-2 1.1%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 5.2%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 2.0%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(18.1%) 2-0(17.2%) 3-0(10.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓   E=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Qanah Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
El Daklyeh Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Qanah
Overall
8.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
9.0
El Daklyeh
Overall
1.2
Scoring
2.0
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 33%
Home Win & Under 2.5 40%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
20.11.25Second Division A
El Daklyeh0
Al Qanah2
04.05.25Second Division A
Al Qanah1
El Daklyeh1
29.12.24Second Division A
El Daklyeh0
Al Qanah0
13.05.22Second Division B
El Daklyeh3
Al Qanah0
25.12.21Second Division B
Al Qanah0
El Daklyeh1
Recent Form
Al Qanah
10.04.26Second Division A
Al Qanah2
Baladiyat El Mahalla1
W
03.04.26Second Division A
Masar0
Al Qanah2
W
27.03.26Second Division A
Al Qanah4
Al-Sekka1
W
12.03.26Second Division A
El-Entag El-Harby1
Al Qanah1
D
06.03.26Second Division A
Al Qanah3
Abu Qir Semad0
W
26.02.26Second Division A
Tanta0
Al Qanah1
W
12.02.26Second Division A
Al Qanah1
Asyut Petroleum0
W
05.02.26Second Division A
El Mansoura0
Al Qanah0
D
30.01.26Second Division A
Al Qanah3
Raya0
W
22.01.26Second Division A
Tersana0
Al Qanah2
W
El Daklyeh
09.04.26Second Division A
El Daklyeh1
Masar4
L
03.04.26Second Division A
Al-Sekka2
El Daklyeh1
L
26.03.26Second Division A
El Daklyeh1
El-Entag El-Harby3
L
12.03.26Second Division A
Abu Qir Semad0
El Daklyeh0
D
07.03.26Second Division A
El Daklyeh1
Tanta1
D
26.02.26Second Division A
Asyut Petroleum4
El Daklyeh0
L
13.02.26Second Division A
El Daklyeh0
El Mansoura1
L
05.02.26Second Division A
Raya1
El Daklyeh1
D
29.01.26Second Division A
El Daklyeh0
Tersana0
D
22.01.26Second Division A
La Viena3
El Daklyeh1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 16th April 2026, Al Qanah host El Daklyeh in Egypt Division 2 A. Our analysis desk recommends Al Qanah to win as the standout selection.

Al Qanah arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

El Daklyeh are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 4D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Qanah, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to El Daklyeh's 2, with 2 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al qanah to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Egypt Division 2 A game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.28. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 16 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Qanah vs El Daklyeh?
Our selection is 1 — Al Qanah to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Al Qanah's current form?
Al Qanah have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has El Daklyeh been performing recently?
El Daklyeh have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Qanah lead with 1 wins versus El Daklyeh's 2, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
⚠️
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