WON Case WON Al Ahly 3-0 Enppi
Fixture Case File · Ref V
A

Al Ahly

Home Side
W L W D L
4W 2D 4L ▲ Trending Up
VS
3-0
E
Enppi
Away Side
L D D D W
4W 2D 4L ▲ Trending Up
CAUTION
36%
Tuesday, 5th May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Al Ahly to win
Al Ahly 30%
Draw 20%
Enppi 50%
H Fair Odds3.33
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob74.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-38.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBA<<A<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<E<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<E986EDFFE4DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 5 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Al Ahly to win
1.34
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Al Ahly vs Enppi Competition: Egypt Premier League Date: Tuesday, 5th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Ahly to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 36% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (70%) Ledger Ref: E986EDFFE
Head to Head
Record
4
Al Ahly
4
Draws
2
Enppi
10
Meetings
1.9
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Al Ahly won 4 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Ahly
Metric
Enppi
1.4
Goals For / Game
0
1.3
Goals Against / Game
0
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
4-2-4
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
40%
40%
1.4
Avg Goals
40%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
A0
0-0 25.9%
0-1 16.9%
0-2 5.5%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 18.2%
1-1 11.8%
1-2 3.8%
1-3 0.8%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 6.4%
2-1 4.1%
2-2 1.3%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 1.5%
3-1 1.0%
3-2 0.3%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(18.2%) 2-0(6.4%) 2-1(4.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓   E=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Ahly Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
Enppi Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Ahly
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.7
Enppi
Overall
4.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 28%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.12.25CUP
Al Ahly0
Enppi1
14.09.25PL
Enppi1
Al Ahly1
20.03.25CUP
Al Ahly0
Enppi1
30.12.24PL
Enppi0
Al Ahly0
14.08.24PL
Enppi1
Al Ahly1
08.04.24PL
Al Ahly2
Enppi2
04.10.23CUP
Al Ahly3
Enppi0
23.05.23PL
Al Ahly2
Enppi0
05.01.23PL
Enppi0
Al Ahly2
24.08.22PL
Al Ahly2
Enppi0
Recent Form
Al Ahly
01.05.26PL
Zamalek0
Al Ahly3
W
27.04.26PL
Pyramids3
Al Ahly0
L
11.04.26PL
Al Ahly2
Smouha1
W
07.04.26PL
Ceramica Cleopatra1
Al Ahly1
D
21.03.26CL
Al Ahly2
Esperance Tunis3
L
15.03.26CL
Esperance Tunis1
Al Ahly0
L
09.03.26PL
El Gaish2
Al Ahly1
L
05.03.26PL
Arab Contractors1
Al Ahly3
W
28.02.26PL
Al Ahly1
ZED1
D
23.02.26PL
Smouha0
Al Ahly1
W
Enppi
01.05.26PL
Zamalek0
Al Ahly3
W
27.04.26PL
Pyramids3
Al Ahly0
L
11.04.26PL
Al Ahly2
Smouha1
W
07.04.26PL
Ceramica Cleopatra1
Al Ahly1
D
21.03.26CL
Al Ahly2
Esperance Tunis3
L
15.03.26CL
Esperance Tunis1
Al Ahly0
L
09.03.26PL
El Gaish2
Al Ahly1
L
05.03.26PL
Arab Contractors1
Al Ahly3
W
28.02.26PL
Al Ahly1
ZED1
D
23.02.26PL
Smouha0
Al Ahly1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 5th May 2026, Al Ahly host Enppi in Egypt Premier League. Our analysis desk recommends Al Ahly to win as the standout selection.

Al Ahly arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Enppi are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Ahly, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Enppi's 2, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al ahly to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Egypt Premier League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.34. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 5 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Ahly vs Enppi?
Our selection is 1 — Al Ahly to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 36%.
What is Al Ahly's current form?
Al Ahly have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Enppi been performing recently?
Enppi have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Ahly lead with 4 wins versus Enppi's 2, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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