Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽
B

BW Linz

Home Side
W W W D W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
—
5:30 pm
—
Hofmann Personal Stadion (Linz)
F
Floridsdorfer AC
Away Side
D L L L L
3W 2D 5L ▲ Trending Up
⚑
MODERATE
56%
Saturday, 7th November 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on BW Linz to win
Implied Prob66.2%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-10.2%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBBW<L<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<F<<<<<<<<<<<<<AC<5DB79F1DB4DFB2611072M2611079<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 7 Nov 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
⚡
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — BW Linz to win
1.51
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
BW Linz vs Floridsdorfer AC Competition: Austria 2. Liga Date: Saturday, 7th November 2026 KO: 5:30 pm Pick: 1 (BW Linz to win) Odds: 1.51 Confidence: 56% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ledger Ref: 5DB79F1DB
⚔
Head to Head
Record
4
BW Linz
1
Draws
5
Floridsdorfer AC
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Against Filing BW Linz won 4 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
BW Linz
Metric
Floridsdorfer AC
2.9
Goals For / Game
1.2
1
Goals Against / Game
1.5
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-1-2
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
70%
30%
3.3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
B0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 4.1%
0-2 2.2%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 8.9%
1-2 4.9%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 8.9%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 6.6%
3-1 7.2%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 3.6%
4-1 4.0%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
B5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 1.7%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.8%) 2-0(8.9%) 1-0(8.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing B=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
BW Linz
Overall
7.3 ▼
Scoring
9.7 ▼
Defence
6.7 ▼
Floridsdorfer AC
Overall
3.6 ▲
Scoring
4.0 ▲
Defence
5.0 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.05.23ERS
BW Linz1
Floridsdorfer AC1
02.10.22ERS
Floridsdorfer AC2
BW Linz1
06.05.22ERS
Floridsdorfer AC2
BW Linz0
30.10.21ERS
BW Linz0
Floridsdorfer AC2
30.04.21ERS
BW Linz2
Floridsdorfer AC0
27.11.20ERS
Floridsdorfer AC4
BW Linz1
10.07.20ERS
Floridsdorfer AC1
BW Linz2
18.10.19ERS
BW Linz2
Floridsdorfer AC3
05.04.19ERS
Floridsdorfer AC0
BW Linz2
31.08.18ERS
BW Linz5
Floridsdorfer AC1
Recent Form
BW Linz
31.10.26ERS
First Vienna0
BW Linz6
W
23.10.26ERS
A. Salzburg0
BW Linz1
W
17.10.26ERS
BW Linz4
Liefering1
W
09.10.26ERS
Amstetten1
BW Linz1
D
02.10.26CF
Salzburg1
BW Linz2
W
18.09.26ERS
BW Linz3
Admira0
W
12.09.26ERS
BW Linz4
Hertha Wels1
W
05.09.26CUP
BW Linz2
Wacker Innsbruck3
L
28.08.26ERS
Kapfenberg2
BW Linz1
L
23.08.26ERS
BW Linz5
ASK Voitsberg1
W
Floridsdorfer AC
31.10.26ERS
Floridsdorfer AC2
Kapfenberg2
D
23.10.26ERS
First Vienna2
Floridsdorfer AC0
L
17.10.26ERS
Floridsdorfer AC0
Admira2
L
10.10.26ERS
A. Salzburg2
Floridsdorfer AC1
L
02.10.26CF
Sturm Graz3
Floridsdorfer AC1
L
18.09.26ERS
Floridsdorfer AC4
Liefering0
W
12.09.26ERS
Bregenz4
Floridsdorfer AC0
L
04.09.26CUP
Floridsdorfer AC0
Bregenz (4-5)0
29.08.26ERS
Floridsdorfer AC2
Wacker Innsbruck0
W
22.08.26ERS
SK Rapid II0
Floridsdorfer AC2
W
BW Linz (Home)
17.10.26ERS
BW Linz4
Liefering1
W
18.09.26ERS
BW Linz3
Admira0
W
12.09.26ERS
BW Linz4
Hertha Wels1
W
05.09.26CUP
BW Linz2
Wacker Innsbruck3
L
23.08.26ERS
BW Linz5
ASK Voitsberg1
W
07.08.26ERS
BW Linz3
Wacker Innsbruck0
W
18.07.26CF
BW Linz1
Braunschweig1
D
04.07.26CF
BW Linz4
Wiener Viktoria0
W
16.05.26BUN
BW Linz0
Grazer AK3
L
24.04.26BUN
BW Linz3
Altach0
W
Floridsdorfer AC (Away)
17.10.26ERS
BW Linz4
Liefering1
W
18.09.26ERS
BW Linz3
Admira0
W
12.09.26ERS
BW Linz4
Hertha Wels1
W
05.09.26CUP
BW Linz2
Wacker Innsbruck3
L
23.08.26ERS
BW Linz5
ASK Voitsberg1
W
07.08.26ERS
BW Linz3
Wacker Innsbruck0
W
18.07.26CF
BW Linz1
Braunschweig1
D
04.07.26CF
BW Linz4
Wiener Viktoria0
W
16.05.26BUN
BW Linz0
Grazer AK3
L
24.04.26BUN
BW Linz3
Altach0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 7th November 2026, BW Linz host Floridsdorfer AC at Hofmann Personal Stadion (Linz) in Austria 2. Liga. Our analysis desk recommends BW Linz to win as the standout selection.

BW Linz arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Floridsdorfer AC are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour BW Linz, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Floridsdorfer AC's 5, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: bw linz to win at odds of 1.51 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Austria 2. Liga fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Hofmann Personal Stadion (Linz), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.51, a call the model rates at roughly 56%. Things get underway at 5:30 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 7 Nov 2026
❓
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for BW Linz vs Floridsdorfer AC?
Our selection is 1 — BW Linz to win, priced at approximately 1.51. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is BW Linz's current form?
BW Linz have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Floridsdorfer AC been performing recently?
Floridsdorfer AC have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
BW Linz lead with 4 wins versus Floridsdorfer AC's 5, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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