Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽
K

Kahrabaa Ismailia

Home Side
D W W W W
5W 4D 1L ▼ Trending Down
VS
—
1:30 pm
—
N/A
T
Team FC
Away Side
L L L D W
3W 1D 6L ▼ Trending Down
⚑
MODERATE
52%
Thursday, 15th October 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Kahrabaa Ismailia to win
Implied Prob69.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-17.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBK<<<<<<<<I<<<<<<<<<<<<T<<<<FC<<<<<<<<<<EFC466DD84DFB2610152M2610159<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 15 Oct 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
⚡
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Kahrabaa Ismailia to win
1.43
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Kahrabaa Ismailia vs Team FC Competition: Egypt Division 2 A Date: Thursday, 15th October 2026 KO: 1:30 pm Pick: 1 (Kahrabaa Ismailia to win) Odds: 1.43 Confidence: 52% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ledger Ref: EFC466DD8
⚔
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kahrabaa Ismailia
Metric
Team FC
1.8
Goals For / Game
1
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.6
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-4-1
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
50%
30%
2.7
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
K0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
K1
1-0 12.0%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
K2
2-0 10.2%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
K3
3-0 5.8%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.0%) 2-0(10.2%) 2-1(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing K=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Kahrabaa Ismailia
Overall
6.2 ▼
Scoring
6.0 ▼
Defence
7.0 ▼
Team FC
Overall
3.3 ▲
Scoring
3.3 ▲
Defence
4.7 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Kahrabaa Ismailia
08.10.26D2A
Tersana2
Kahrabaa Ismailia2
D
02.10.26D2A
Kahrabaa Ismailia2
Delta United0
W
24.09.26D2A
Kahrabaa Ismailia3
Pharco1
W
18.09.26D2A
Baladiyat El Mahalla0
Kahrabaa Ismailia1
W
10.09.26D2A
Kahrabaa Ismailia3
El Daklyeh0
W
03.09.26D2A
El Mansoura2
Kahrabaa Ismailia0
L
27.08.26D2A
Kahrabaa Ismailia3
Proxy0
W
20.08.26D2A
La Viena1
Kahrabaa Ismailia1
D
29.05.26PL
ZED1
Kahrabaa Ismailia1
D
23.05.26PL
Kahrabaa Ismailia2
Arab Contractors2
D
Team FC
09.10.26D2A
Team FC0
Pharco3
L
02.10.26D2A
Baladiyat El Mahalla3
Team FC1
L
24.09.26D2A
Team FC1
El Daklyeh2
L
17.09.26D2A
El Mansoura1
Team FC1
D
11.09.26D2A
Team FC1
Proxy0
W
03.09.26D2A
La Viena0
Team FC1
W
27.08.26D2A
Team FC1
Al Sekka2
L
21.08.26D2A
Tanta2
Team FC1
L
03.02.25CUP
El Gouna3
Team FC1
L
05.01.25CUP
Al Ittihad0
Team FC2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 15th October 2026, Kahrabaa Ismailia host Team FC at N/A in Egypt Division 2 A. Our analysis desk recommends Kahrabaa Ismailia to win as the standout selection.

Kahrabaa Ismailia arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Team FC are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: kahrabaa ismailia to win at odds of 1.43 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Egypt Division 2 A fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.43, a call the model rates at roughly 54%. Things get underway at 1:30 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 15 Oct 2026
❓
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kahrabaa Ismailia vs Team FC?
Our selection is 1 — Kahrabaa Ismailia to win, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 52%.
What is Kahrabaa Ismailia's current form?
Kahrabaa Ismailia have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Team FC been performing recently?
Team FC have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game.
⚠️
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