Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽
C

CR Belouizdad

Home Side
W W D D D
5W 4D 1L ▼ Trending Down
VS
—
8:00 pm
—
N/A
K
Khenchela
Away Side
D D W W D
5W 3D 2L ▲ Trending Up
⚑
MODERATE
45%
Wednesday, 7th October 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on CR Belouizdad to win
Implied Prob76.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-31.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBCR<B<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<K<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<C5BFEA6454DFB2610072M2610079<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 7 Oct 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
⚔
Head to Head
Record
3
CR Belouizdad
2
Draws
3
Khenchela
8
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
63%
Over 2.5
Against Filing CR Belouizdad won 3 of the last 8 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
CR Belouizdad
Metric
Khenchela
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.3
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.1
50%
Clean Sheets
40%
5-4-1
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
50%
50%
2.4
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
C0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 10.5%
0-2 5.8%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 11.9%
1-1 13.1%
1-2 7.2%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
C2
2-0 7.5%
2-1 8.2%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 3.1%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.9%) 2-1(8.2%) 2-0(7.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
CR Belouizdad
Overall
6.2 ▲
Scoring
4.7 ▲
Defence
7.0 ▲
Khenchela
Overall
5.9 ▲
Scoring
4.3 ▲
Defence
6.3 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.05.26DIV
CR Belouizdad3
Khenchela1
06.09.25DIV
Khenchela1
CR Belouizdad1
12.02.25DIV
CR Belouizdad3
Khenchela0
02.10.24DIV
Khenchela0
CR Belouizdad0
04.05.24DIV
Khenchela2
CR Belouizdad1
07.10.23DIV
CR Belouizdad2
Khenchela3
10.07.23DIV
Khenchela4
CR Belouizdad0
11.12.22DIV
CR Belouizdad2
Khenchela0
Recent Form
CR Belouizdad
17.09.26DIV
Biskra0
CR Belouizdad1
W
11.09.26DIV
CR Belouizdad1
ES Setif0
W
05.09.26DIV
ASO Chlef3
CR Belouizdad3
D
05.06.26DIV
Kabylie0
CR Belouizdad0
D
02.06.26DIV
USM Alger1
CR Belouizdad1
D
24.05.26DIV
CR Belouizdad3
Ben Aknoun1
W
20.05.26DIV
CR Belouizdad3
Oran1
W
16.05.26DIV
ES Setif3
CR Belouizdad1
L
12.05.26DIV
Saoura0
CR Belouizdad0
D
08.05.26DIV
Olympique Akbou0
CR Belouizdad1
W
Khenchela
18.09.26DIV
Khenchela1
Ben Aknoun1
D
04.09.26DIV
Khenchela0
USM Alger0
D
05.06.26DIV
Khenchela1
Rouisset0
W
25.05.26DIV
Khenchela2
USM Alger1
W
19.05.26DIV
Constantine2
Khenchela2
D
08.05.26DIV
Khenchela2
El Bayadh1
W
04.05.26DIV
CR Belouizdad3
Khenchela1
L
17.04.26DIV
Saoura3
Khenchela0
L
10.04.26DIV
Mostaganem0
Khenchela3
W
05.04.26DIV
Khenchela1
Paradou0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 7th October 2026, CR Belouizdad host Khenchela at N/A in Algeria Ligue 1. Our analysis desk recommends CR Belouizdad to win as the standout selection.

CR Belouizdad arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Khenchela are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 3D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour CR Belouizdad, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Khenchela's 3, with 2 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cr belouizdad to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Algeria Ligue 1 fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.31, a call the model rates at roughly 46%. Things get underway at 8:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 7 Oct 2026
❓
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for CR Belouizdad vs Khenchela?
Our selection is 1 — CR Belouizdad to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is CR Belouizdad's current form?
CR Belouizdad have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Khenchela been performing recently?
Khenchela have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
CR Belouizdad lead with 3 wins versus Khenchela's 3, with 2 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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