Fixture Case File · Ref V
N

Nordsjaelland W

Home Side
W W D L W
4W 3D 3L ▼ Trending Down
VS
6:00 pm
N/A
K
KoldingQ W
Away Side
W L W L L
3W 0D 7L ▲ Trending Up
MODERATE
59%
Tuesday, 1st September 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Nordsjaelland W to win
Implied Prob83.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-24.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBN<<<<<<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<K<<<<<<Q<W<<<<<<<3C0314CBC4DFB2609012M2609019<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 1 Sep 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Nordsjaelland W to win
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Nordsjaelland W vs KoldingQ W Date: Tuesday, 1st September 2026 KO: 6:00 pm Pick: 1 (Nordsjaelland W to win) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 59% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Ledger Ref: 3C0314CBC
Head to Head
Record
10
Nordsjaelland W
0
Draws
0
KoldingQ W
10
Meetings
3.9
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Nordsjaelland W won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Nordsjaelland W
Metric
KoldingQ W
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.3
Goals Against / Game
2.5
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-3-3
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate
40%
30%
3.8
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
N0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 3.2%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
N1
1-0 5.3%
1-1 7.6%
1-2 5.5%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
N2
2-0 6.2%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
N3
3-0 4.8%
3-1 7.0%
3-2 5.1%
3-3 2.5%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
N4
4-0 2.8%
4-1 4.1%
4-2 3.0%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
N5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.9%
5-2 1.4%
5-3 0.7%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.0%) 3-1(7.0%) 2-0(6.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing N=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Nordsjaelland W
Overall
4.9
Scoring
7.3
Defence
5.7
KoldingQ W
Overall
3.0
Scoring
5.3
Defence
1.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 33%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
10.05.26AL
KoldingQ W1
Nordsjaelland5
02.04.26CUP
KoldingQ W2
Nordsjaelland3
25.03.26CUP
Nordsjaelland W6
KoldingQ0
21.03.26AL
Nordsjaelland W4
KoldingQ1
22.11.25AL
Nordsjaelland W3
KoldingQ1
23.09.25AL
KoldingQ W0
Nordsjaelland5
11.10.24AL
KoldingQ W0
Nordsjaelland1
10.08.24AL
Nordsjaelland W4
KoldingQ0
09.06.24AL
Nordsjaelland W2
KoldingQ0
13.04.24AL
KoldingQ W0
Nordsjaelland1
Recent Form
Nordsjaelland W
23.08.26AL
Nordsjaelland W9
FC Copenhagen W1
W
15.08.26AL
ASA Aarhus W1
Nordsjaelland W3
W
01.08.26AL
Brondby W1
Nordsjaelland W1
D
26.07.26AL
Nordsjaelland W0
Odense Q W1
L
19.07.26CF
Feyenoord W1
Nordsjaelland W3
W
14.07.26CF
Hammarby W1
Nordsjaelland W3
W
13.06.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
Nordsjaelland W0
L
30.05.26AL
Nordsjaelland W2
Brondby W2
D
24.05.26AL
Aarhus W0
Nordsjaelland W0
D
16.05.26CUP
Nordsjaelland W1
Koge W4
L
KoldingQ W
19.08.26AL
KoldingQ W3
Odense Q W1
W
15.08.26AL
Midtjylland W3
KoldingQ W1
L
02.08.26AL
Aarhus W0
KoldingQ W4
W
28.07.26AL
KoldingQ W2
Fortuna Hjorring W6
L
13.06.26AL
Koge W3
KoldingQ W1
L
28.05.26AL
KoldingQ W0
Fortuna Hjorring W1
L
22.05.26AL
Brondby W3
KoldingQ W2
L
10.05.26AL
KoldingQ W1
Nordsjaelland W5
L
05.05.26AL
Aarhus W1
KoldingQ W2
W
24.04.26AL
KoldingQ W0
Koge W2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 1st September 2026, Nordsjaelland W host KoldingQ W at N/A. Our analysis desk recommends Nordsjaelland W to win as the standout selection.

Nordsjaelland W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

KoldingQ W are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 0D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Nordsjaelland W, who lead the head-to-head with 10 wins to KoldingQ W's 0, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: nordsjaelland w to win at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Unknown League fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.20, a call the model rates at roughly 47%. Things get underway at 6:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 1 Sep 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Nordsjaelland W vs KoldingQ W?
Our selection is 1 — Nordsjaelland W to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Nordsjaelland W's current form?
Nordsjaelland W have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has KoldingQ W been performing recently?
KoldingQ W have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Nordsjaelland W lead with 10 wins versus KoldingQ W's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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