WON Case WON Al Ahly 3-2 Enppi
Fixture Case File · Ref V
A

Al Ahly

Home Side
L W W W L
4W 1D 5L ▼ Trending Down
VS
3-2
6:00 pm
N/A
E
Enppi
Away Side
L W D L L
2W 4D 4L ▲ Trending Up
CAUTION
42%
Sunday, 23rd August 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Al Ahly to win
Implied Prob74.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-32.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBA<<A<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<E<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<0E7DA66434DFB2608232M2608239<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 24 Aug 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Al Ahly to win
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Al Ahly vs Enppi Competition: Egypt Premier League Date: Sunday, 23rd August 2026 KO: 6:00 pm Pick: 1 (Al Ahly to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 42% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: 0E7DA6643
Head to Head
Record
4
Al Ahly
4
Draws
2
Enppi
10
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Al Ahly won 4 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Ahly
Metric
Enppi
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-1-5
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
40%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
A0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 11.5%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 8.9%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.5%) 2-1(9.4%) 2-0(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓   E=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Ahly
Overall
4.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.7
Enppi
Overall
3.2
Scoring
2.7
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.05.26PL
Al Ahly3
Enppi0
12.12.25CUP
Al Ahly0
Enppi1
14.09.25PL
Enppi1
Al Ahly1
20.03.25CUP
Al Ahly0
Enppi1
30.12.24PL
Enppi0
Al Ahly0
14.08.24PL
Enppi1
Al Ahly1
08.04.24PL
Al Ahly2
Enppi2
04.10.23CUP
Al Ahly3
Enppi0
23.05.23PL
Al Ahly2
Enppi0
05.01.23PL
Enppi0
Al Ahly2
Recent Form
Al Ahly
19.08.26CF
Barcelona2
Al Ahly1
L
20.05.26PL
Al Masry0
Al Ahly2
W
05.05.26PL
Al Ahly3
Enppi0
W
01.05.26PL
Zamalek0
Al Ahly3
W
27.04.26PL
Pyramids3
Al Ahly0
L
11.04.26PL
Al Ahly2
Smouha1
W
07.04.26PL
Ceramica Cleopatra1
Al Ahly1
D
21.03.26CL
Al Ahly2
Esperance Tunis3
L
15.03.26CL
Esperance Tunis1
Al Ahly0
L
09.03.26PL
El Gaish2
Al Ahly1
L
Enppi
08.06.26CUP
Enppi0
Al Masry3
L
01.06.26CUP
Wadi Degla0
Enppi1
W
25.05.26CUP
Enppi0
Wadi Degla0
D
05.05.26PL
Al Ahly3
Enppi0
L
01.05.26PL
Pyramids3
Enppi2
L
27.04.26PL
Zamalek0
Enppi0
D
22.04.26PL
Al Masry2
Enppi2
D
11.04.26PL
Enppi1
Ceramica Cleopatra1
D
07.04.26PL
Smouha0
Enppi2
W
03.04.26CUP
Enppi0
Pyramids4
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Sunday, 23rd August 2026, Al Ahly host Enppi at N/A in Egypt Premier League. Our analysis desk recommends Al Ahly to win as the standout selection.

Al Ahly arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Enppi are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Ahly, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Enppi's 2, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al ahly to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Egypt Premier League fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.34, a call the model rates at roughly 44%. Things get underway at 6:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 24 Aug 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Ahly vs Enppi?
Our selection is 1 — Al Ahly to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 42%.
What is Al Ahly's current form?
Al Ahly have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Enppi been performing recently?
Enppi have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Ahly lead with 4 wins versus Enppi's 2, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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