WON Case WON Athlone WFC W 3-2 Sligo Rovers W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
A

Athlone WFC W

Home Side
W W L W W
7W 1D 2L → Holding Steady
VS
3-2
7:30 pm
N/A
S
Sligo Rovers W
Away Side
D L W W W
5W 3D 2L ▼ Trending Down
CASE VERIFIED
67%
Saturday, 15th August 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Athlone WFC W to win
Athlone WFC W 50%
Draw 30%
Sligo Rovers W 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob76.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-9.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBA<<<<<<<WFC<W<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<R<<<<<<W<<<E1F5CFFB14DFB2608152M2608159<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 17 Aug 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Athlone WFC W to win
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals95%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Athlone WFC W vs Sligo Rovers W Competition: Ireland N' League Women Date: Saturday, 15th August 2026 KO: 7:30 pm Pick: 1 (Athlone WFC W to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 67% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Ledger Ref: E1F5CFFB1
Head to Head
Record
9
Athlone WFC W
1
Draws
0
Sligo Rovers W
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Athlone WFC W won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Athlone WFC W
Metric
Sligo Rovers W
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.5
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-1-2
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
70%
50%
3.5
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
A0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 4.4%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
A1
1-0 6.2%
1-1 9.0%
1-2 6.5%
1-3 3.2%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
A2
2-0 6.4%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.3%
A3
3-0 4.3%
3-1 6.3%
3-2 4.6%
3-3 2.2%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.2%) 2-0(6.4%) 3-1(6.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Athlone WFC W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Sligo Rovers W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Athlone WFC W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.3
Sligo Rovers W
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.03.26WNL
Sligo Rovers W1
Athlone WFC1
11.10.25WNL
Athlone WFC W4
Sligo Rovers0
17.05.25WNL
Sligo Rovers W0
Athlone WFC4
22.09.24CUP
Sligo Rovers W0
Athlone WFC1
10.08.24WNL
Athlone WFC W5
Sligo Rovers1
25.05.24WNL
Sligo Rovers W0
Athlone WFC2
20.04.24AIC
Athlone WFC W2
Sligo Rovers1
14.10.23CUP
Sligo Rovers W0
Athlone WFC4
19.08.23WNL
Athlone WFC W2
Sligo Rovers0
29.04.23WNL
Sligo Rovers W1
Athlone WFC3
Recent Form
Athlone WFC W
08.08.26WNL
Wexford W0
Athlone WFC W3
W
01.08.26CUP
Athlone WFC W5
Shamrock Rovers W3
W
25.07.26CL
Athlone WFC W1
Czarni Sosnowiec W3
L
22.07.26CL
Athlone WFC W4
ZFK Skopje 2014 W0
W
18.07.26WNL
Athlone WFC W3
Bohemians WFC W0
W
11.07.26WNL
Cork City W0
Athlone WFC W3
W
08.07.26WNL
Athlone WFC W1
Shelbourne W1
D
04.07.26CUP
Peamount W0
Athlone WFC W2
W
20.06.26WNL
Athlone WFC W3
Shamrock Rovers W1
W
30.05.26AIC
Treaty Utd W3
Athlone WFC W1
L
Sligo Rovers W
08.08.26WNL
Sligo Rovers W1
Galway United W1
D
01.08.26CUP
Galway United W2
Sligo Rovers W1
L
25.07.26WNL
Bohemians WFC W2
Sligo Rovers W3
W
18.07.26WNL
Sligo Rovers W3
DLR Waves W1
W
11.07.26WNL
Sligo Rovers W1
Wexford W0
W
04.07.26CUP
Waterford W1
Sligo Rovers W2
W
27.06.26WNL
Treaty Utd W1
Sligo Rovers W1
D
20.06.26WNL
Shelbourne W2
Sligo Rovers W2
D
30.05.26AIC
Linfield W5
Sligo Rovers W0
L
23.05.26WNL
Sligo Rovers W4
Cork City W0
W
Athlone WFC W (Home)
01.08.26CUP
Athlone WFC W5
Shamrock Rovers W3
W
25.07.26CL
Athlone WFC W1
Czarni Sosnowiec W3
L
22.07.26CL
Athlone WFC W4
ZFK Skopje 2014 W0
W
18.07.26WNL
Athlone WFC W3
Bohemians WFC W0
W
08.07.26WNL
Athlone WFC W1
Shelbourne W1
D
20.06.26WNL
Athlone WFC W3
Shamrock Rovers W1
W
16.05.26WNL
Athlone WFC W1
Treaty Utd W0
W
25.04.26WNL
Athlone WFC W2
Wexford W0
W
19.04.26WNL
Athlone WFC W2
Peamount W0
W
04.04.26AIC
Athlone WFC W2
Cork City W0
W
Sligo Rovers W (Away)
01.08.26CUP
Galway United W2
Sligo Rovers W1
L
25.07.26WNL
Bohemians WFC W2
Sligo Rovers W3
W
04.07.26CUP
Waterford W1
Sligo Rovers W2
W
27.06.26WNL
Treaty Utd W1
Sligo Rovers W1
D
20.06.26WNL
Shelbourne W2
Sligo Rovers W2
D
30.05.26AIC
Linfield W5
Sligo Rovers W0
L
16.05.26WNL
Waterford W1
Sligo Rovers W2
W
09.05.26AIC
Shamrock Rovers W3
Sligo Rovers W1
L
25.04.26WNL
Peamount W1
Sligo Rovers W1
D
19.04.26WNL
DLR Waves W2
Sligo Rovers W0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 15th August 2026, Athlone WFC W host Sligo Rovers W at N/A in Ireland N' League Women. Our analysis desk recommends Athlone WFC W to win as the standout selection.

Athlone WFC W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Sligo Rovers W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 3D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Athlone WFC W, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Sligo Rovers W's 0, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: athlone wfc w to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Ireland N’ League Women fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.31, a call the model rates at roughly 90%. Things get underway at 7:30 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 17 Aug 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Athlone WFC W vs Sligo Rovers W?
Our selection is 1 — Athlone WFC W to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Athlone WFC W's current form?
Athlone WFC W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sligo Rovers W been performing recently?
Sligo Rovers W have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Athlone WFC W lead with 9 wins versus Sligo Rovers W's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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