VOID Case VOID
Fixture Case File · Ref V
S

Shelbourne W

Home Side
W D W W D
7W 3D 0L → Holding Steady
VS
4:00 pm
N/A
C
Cork City W
Away Side
L W D W D
2W 4D 4L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
73%
Saturday, 18th July 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Shelbourne W to win
Shelbourne W 60%
Draw 20%
Cork City W 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob84.7%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-11.7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBS<<<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<C<<<<C<<<<W<<<<<<A6FBCD1554DFB7001012M7001019<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 20 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Shelbourne W to win
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Shelbourne W vs Cork City W Competition: Ireland National League Women Date: Saturday, 18th July 2026 KO: 4:00 pm Pick: 1 (Shelbourne W to win) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 73% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: A6FBCD155
Head to Head
Record
10
Shelbourne W
0
Draws
0
Cork City W
10
Meetings
4.6
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Shelbourne W won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Shelbourne W
Metric
Cork City W
3.1
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.7
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-3-0
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
70%
20%
3.4
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
S0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 3.3%
0-2 1.6%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 8.4%
1-1 8.0%
1-2 3.8%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 10.1%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 8.1%
3-1 7.7%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 4.9%
4-1 4.6%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 2.3%
5-1 2.2%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(10.1%) 2-1(9.6%) 1-0(8.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing S=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Shelbourne W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Cork City W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Shelbourne W
Overall
7.9
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.3
Cork City W
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.05.26WNL
Cork City W0
Shelbourne3
02.08.25WNL
Cork City W0
Shelbourne2
19.04.25WNL
Shelbourne W7
Cork City0
21.09.24CUP
Shelbourne W5
Cork City0
10.08.24WNL
Cork City W1
Shelbourne4
25.05.24WNL
Shelbourne W5
Cork City1
20.04.24AIC
Shelbourne W3
Cork City0
11.11.23WNL
Cork City W1
Shelbourne5
04.03.23WNL
Shelbourne W6
Cork City0
01.10.22WNL
Shelbourne W2
Cork City1
Recent Form
Shelbourne W
11.07.26WNL
Shelbourne W3
Waterford W0
W
08.07.26WNL
Athlone WFC W1
Shelbourne W1
D
04.07.26CUP
Shelbourne W6
Bray W0
W
27.06.26AIC
Shelbourne W4
Bohemians WFC W0
W
20.06.26WNL
Shelbourne W2
Sligo Rovers W2
D
13.06.26AIC
Shelbourne W3
Cliftonville W1
W
30.05.26AIC
Glentoran W1
Shelbourne W6
W
23.05.26WNL
Peamount W2
Shelbourne W4
W
16.05.26WNL
Shelbourne W0
Galway United W0
D
09.05.26AIC
Shelbourne W2
Bohemians WFC W1
W
Cork City W
11.07.26WNL
Cork City W0
Athlone WFC W3
L
05.07.26CUP
Cork City W1
DLR Waves W0
W
27.06.26WNL
Waterford W0
Cork City W0
D
20.06.26WNL
Cork City W6
Peamount W0
W
30.05.26AIC
Cliftonville W3
Cork City W3
D
23.05.26WNL
Sligo Rovers W4
Cork City W0
L
16.05.26WNL
DLR Waves W1
Cork City W1
D
09.05.26AIC
Cork City W0
Treaty Utd W0
D
02.05.26WNL
Cork City W0
Shelbourne W3
L
25.04.26WNL
Cork City W0
Galway United W3
L
Shelbourne W (Home)
11.07.26WNL
Shelbourne W3
Waterford W0
W
04.07.26CUP
Shelbourne W6
Bray W0
W
27.06.26AIC
Shelbourne W4
Bohemians WFC W0
W
20.06.26WNL
Shelbourne W2
Sligo Rovers W2
D
13.06.26AIC
Shelbourne W3
Cliftonville W1
W
16.05.26WNL
Shelbourne W0
Galway United W0
D
09.05.26AIC
Shelbourne W2
Bohemians WFC W1
W
19.04.26WNL
Shelbourne W1
Bohemians WFC W0
W
28.03.26WNL
Shelbourne W3
DLR Waves W0
W
14.03.26WNL
Shelbourne W2
Treaty Utd W0
W
Cork City W (Away)
27.06.26WNL
Waterford W0
Cork City W0
D
30.05.26AIC
Cliftonville W3
Cork City W3
D
23.05.26WNL
Sligo Rovers W4
Cork City W0
L
16.05.26WNL
DLR Waves W1
Cork City W1
D
19.04.26WNL
Wexford W4
Cork City W1
L
04.04.26AIC
Athlone WFC W2
Cork City W0
L
21.03.26WNL
Bohemians WFC W3
Cork City W0
L
11.10.25WNL
Wexford W3
Cork City W0
L
20.09.25WNL
Galway United W5
Cork City W0
L
06.09.25WNL
Bohemians WFC W2
Cork City W0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 18th July 2026, Shelbourne W host Cork City W at N/A in Ireland National League Women. Our analysis desk recommends Shelbourne W to win as the standout selection.

Shelbourne W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Cork City W are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Shelbourne W, who lead the head-to-head with 10 wins to Cork City W's 0, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: shelbourne w to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Ireland National League Women fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.18, a call the model rates at roughly 60,20,20%. Things get underway at 4:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 20 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shelbourne W vs Cork City W?
Our selection is 1 — Shelbourne W to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Shelbourne W's current form?
Shelbourne W have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cork City W been performing recently?
Cork City W have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shelbourne W lead with 10 wins versus Cork City W's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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