VOID Case VOID
Fixture Case File · Ref V
C

Coquimbo W

Home Side
L L W W W
5W 2D 3L ▼ Trending Down
VS
5:00 pm
N/A
H
Huachipato W
Away Side
W D L W W
5W 2D 3L ▲ Trending Up
MODERATE
53%
Friday, 17th July 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Coquimbo W to win
Coquimbo W 50%
Draw 30%
Huachipato W 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob80%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-27%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBC<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<H<<<<<<<<<<W<<<<<D3A11BE6E4DFB7001012M7001019<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 18 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Coquimbo W to win
1.25
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No75% Coquimbo W Clean Sheet70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Coquimbo W vs Huachipato W Competition: Chile Primera Division Women Date: Friday, 17th July 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Coquimbo W to win) Odds: 1.25 Confidence: 53% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (75%) Also: Coquimbo W Clean Sheet (70%) Ledger Ref: D3A11BE6E
Head to Head
Record
2
Coquimbo W
0
Draws
1
Huachipato W
3
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Coquimbo W won 2 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Coquimbo W
Metric
Huachipato W
1.2
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.7
70%
Clean Sheets
40%
5-2-3
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
50%
50%
2.4
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
C0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 13.8%
1-1 12.5%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 10.0%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 4.4%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.8%) 2-0(10.0%) 2-1(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Coquimbo W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Huachipato W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Coquimbo W
Overall
5.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
7.7
Huachipato W
Overall
5.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 31%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.05.26PD
Huachipato W1
Coquimbo4
24.05.25PD
Coquimbo W5
Huachipato0
10.05.25PD
Huachipato W1
Coquimbo0
Recent Form
Coquimbo W
13.07.26PD
U. Catolica W3
Coquimbo W2
L
08.07.26PD
Coquimbo W0
Colo-Colo W3
L
03.07.26PD
Coquimbo W2
S. Wanderers W0
W
27.06.26PD
Deportes Iquique W0
Coquimbo W2
W
20.06.26PD
S. Wanderers W0
Coquimbo W2
W
12.06.26PD
Coquimbo W3
Recoleta W0
W
30.05.26PD
Coquimbo W0
U. Catolica W1
L
24.05.26PD
Colo-Colo W0
Coquimbo W0
D
13.05.26PD
Coquimbo W1
Deportes Iquique W0
W
08.05.26PD
Magallanes W0
Coquimbo W0
D
Huachipato W
11.07.26PD
Huachipato W3
Deportes Temuco W2
W
03.07.26PD
Magallanes W1
Huachipato W1
D
26.06.26PD
Huachipato W0
Colo-Colo W7
L
20.06.26PD
Recoleta W0
Huachipato W1
W
13.06.26PD
Huachipato W2
Magallanes W0
W
31.05.26PD
Colo-Colo W5
Huachipato W1
L
23.05.26PD
Huachipato W1
U. Espanola W1
D
17.05.26PD
Deportes Temuco W0
Huachipato W1
W
13.05.26PD
Huachipato W1
U. De Concepcion W0
W
09.05.26PD
Deportes Iquique W1
Huachipato W0
L
Coquimbo W (Home)
08.07.26PD
Coquimbo W0
Colo-Colo W3
L
03.07.26PD
Coquimbo W2
S. Wanderers W0
W
12.06.26PD
Coquimbo W3
Recoleta W0
W
30.05.26PD
Coquimbo W0
U. Catolica W1
L
13.05.26PD
Coquimbo W1
Deportes Iquique W0
W
25.04.26PD
Coquimbo W0
U. De Chile W0
D
28.03.26PD
Coquimbo W1
Palestino W1
D
13.03.26PD
Coquimbo W2
U. De Concepcion W0
W
13.11.25PD
Coquimbo W0
Colo-Colo W1
L
08.11.25PD
Coquimbo W2
U. Catolica W1
W
Huachipato W (Away)
03.07.26PD
Magallanes W1
Huachipato W1
D
20.06.26PD
Recoleta W0
Huachipato W1
W
31.05.26PD
Colo-Colo W5
Huachipato W1
L
17.05.26PD
Deportes Temuco W0
Huachipato W1
W
09.05.26PD
Deportes Iquique W1
Huachipato W0
L
26.04.26PD
U. Catolica W1
Huachipato W0
L
21.03.26PD
Palestino W2
Huachipato W2
D
07.11.25PD
U. De Chile W3
Huachipato W0
L
13.09.25PD
U. Catolica W2
Huachipato W0
L
27.08.25PD
S. Morning W2
Huachipato W0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Friday, 17th July 2026, Coquimbo W host Huachipato W at N/A in Chile Primera Division Women. Our analysis desk recommends Coquimbo W to win as the standout selection.

Coquimbo W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Huachipato W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Coquimbo W, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Huachipato W's 1, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: coquimbo w to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Chile Primera Division Women fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.25, a call the model rates at roughly 80%. Things get underway at 5:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 18 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Coquimbo W vs Huachipato W?
Our selection is 1 — Coquimbo W to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Coquimbo W's current form?
Coquimbo W have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Huachipato W been performing recently?
Huachipato W have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Coquimbo W lead with 2 wins versus Huachipato W's 1, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.