WON Case WON Recoleta W 1-0 Huachipato W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
R

Recoleta W

Home Side
L L L L L
0W 0D 10L → Holding Steady
VS
1-0
5:00 pm
H
Huachipato W
Away Side
W L D W W
3W 2D 5L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
52%
Saturday, 20th June 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Huachipato W to win
Recoleta W 20%
Draw 30%
Huachipato W 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob77.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-25.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBR<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<H<<<<<<<<<<W<<<<<9EB8A0CC04DFB7001012M7001019<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 21 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 — Huachipato W to win
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals65%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Recoleta W vs Huachipato W Competition: Chile Women Date: Saturday, 20th June 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 2 (Huachipato W to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 52% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Ledger Ref: 9EB8A0CC0
Head to Head
Record
0
Recoleta W
0
Draws
2
Huachipato W
2
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Huachipato W won 2 of 2 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Recoleta W
Metric
Huachipato W
1
Goals For / Game
0.9
4
Goals Against / Game
1.5
0%
Clean Sheets
30%
0-0-10
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
0%
30%
3.7
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
R0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 6.1%
0-2 7.4%
0-3 6.1%
0-4 3.7%
0-5 1.8%
R1
1-0 3.1%
1-1 7.6%
1-2 9.3%
1-3 7.6%
1-4 4.6%
1-5 2.3%
R2
2-0 1.9%
2-1 4.7%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 4.7%
2-4 2.9%
2-5 1.4%
R3
3-0 0.8%
3-1 2.0%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 1.2%
3-5 0.6%
R4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.2%
R5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(9.3%) 1-3(7.6%) 0-2(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing R=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Recoleta W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Huachipato W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Recoleta W
Overall
0.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
0.0
Huachipato W
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 41%
Away Win & BTTS No 34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 49%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.08.25PD
Huachipato W2
Recoleta0
23.04.25PD
Recoleta W0
Huachipato4
Recent Form
Recoleta W
12.06.26PD
Coquimbo W3
Recoleta W0
L
30.05.26PD
U. Espanola W5
Recoleta W2
L
23.05.26PD
U. De Chile W4
Recoleta W1
L
18.05.26PD
Magallanes W3
Recoleta W2
L
13.05.26PD
Recoleta W0
U. Catolica W3
L
09.05.26PD
Colo-Colo W9
Recoleta W0
L
02.05.26PD
Recoleta W1
S. Wanderers W4
L
25.04.26PD
Recoleta W1
Palestino W2
L
05.04.26PD
U. De Concepcion W3
Recoleta W1
L
20.03.26PD
Recoleta W2
Deportes Temuco W4
L
Huachipato W
13.06.26PD
Huachipato W2
Magallanes W0
W
31.05.26PD
Colo-Colo W5
Huachipato W1
L
23.05.26PD
Huachipato W1
U. Espanola W1
D
17.05.26PD
Deportes Temuco W0
Huachipato W1
W
13.05.26PD
Huachipato W1
U. De Concepcion W0
W
09.05.26PD
Deportes Iquique W1
Huachipato W0
L
02.05.26PD
Huachipato W1
Coquimbo W4
L
26.04.26PD
U. Catolica W1
Huachipato W0
L
27.03.26PD
Huachipato W0
U. De Chile W1
L
21.03.26PD
Palestino W2
Huachipato W2
D
Recoleta W (Home)
13.05.26PD
Recoleta W0
U. Catolica W3
L
02.05.26PD
Recoleta W1
S. Wanderers W4
L
25.04.26PD
Recoleta W1
Palestino W2
L
20.03.26PD
Recoleta W2
Deportes Temuco W4
L
06.09.25PD
Recoleta W1
Deportes Iquique W3
L
27.08.25PD
Recoleta W0
S. Wanderers W3
L
24.08.25PD
Recoleta W0
S. Morning W3
L
13.08.25PD
Recoleta W0
U. De Chile W3
L
18.06.25PD
Recoleta W1
U. Espanola W1
D
07.06.25PD
Recoleta W2
U. De Concepcion W1
W
Huachipato W (Away)
31.05.26PD
Colo-Colo W5
Huachipato W1
L
17.05.26PD
Deportes Temuco W0
Huachipato W1
W
09.05.26PD
Deportes Iquique W1
Huachipato W0
L
26.04.26PD
U. Catolica W1
Huachipato W0
L
21.03.26PD
Palestino W2
Huachipato W2
D
07.11.25PD
U. De Chile W3
Huachipato W0
L
13.09.25PD
U. Catolica W2
Huachipato W0
L
27.08.25PD
S. Morning W2
Huachipato W0
L
24.08.25PD
S. Wanderers W3
Huachipato W1
L
13.08.25PD
Colo-Colo W8
Huachipato W0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 20th June 2026, Recoleta W host Huachipato W in Chile Women. Our analysis desk recommends Huachipato W to win as the standout selection.

Recoleta W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Huachipato W are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Recoleta W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Huachipato W's 2, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: huachipato w to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The first question worth asking before any football bet is simple: what am I actually paying for here? The odds you see on any given market reflect how the bookmaker has priced the outcome based on a blend of algorithm, public money, and market positioning. They’re rarely wrong by a huge margin — but they’re also not perfectly calibrated. Edges exist. Finding them requires looking at the right things.

For this Chile Women clash, we’ve been through both teams in detail, and here’s where the value sits.

The home team’s seasonal form — L-L-L-L-L — is the anchor the market has built its price around. But what’s more instructive is the last five at home. This stretch tells us whether the home side are currently in a phase where they’re converting pressure into goals, whether they’re grinding tight wins, or whether they’ve been leaking results they shouldn’t be dropping. Each of those patterns carries a different implication for what’s likely to happen in this specific 90 minutes.

The away side has been travelling with an overall record of W-L-D-W-W this season. Again, the last five on the road is what we lean on for current intelligence. An away team that’s been quietly picking up points on the road in recent weeks is a very different proposition from one whose seasonal record is propped up by a strong run that ended three months ago.

Historical meetings between these clubs add texture to the analysis.:

Head-to-Head Record:

08.08.25 (PD) Huachipato W 2 – 0 Recoleta W
23.04.25 (PD) Recoleta W 0 – 4 Huachipato W

is the head-to-head picture, and those previous encounters often reveal persistent patterns in how these two teams match up against each other specifically — things you’d never spot by looking at their form against everyone else.

Factoring in the the host venue setting and a kickoff at 5:00 pm, the recommendation that comes out of all of this is 2 at @@1.29. Probability estimate: 20,30,50%. That’s our play. Check our other selections across today’s card before you finalise anything.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 21 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Recoleta W vs Huachipato W?
Our selection is 2 — Huachipato W to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 52%.
What is Recoleta W's current form?
Recoleta W have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 10 of their last 10 matches.
How has Huachipato W been performing recently?
Huachipato W have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Recoleta W lead with 0 wins versus Huachipato W's 2, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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