WON Case WON Jiangsu Suning W 2-1 Guangxi Pingguo W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
J

Jiangsu Suning W

Home Side
W L W W W
7W 1D 2L → Holding Steady
VS
2-1
10:00 am
G
Guangxi Pingguo W
Away Side
L D L L D
0W 2D 3L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
58%
Saturday, 20th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Jiangsu Suning W to win
Jiangsu Suning W 50%
Draw 30%
Guangxi Pingguo W 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob78.1%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-20.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBJ<<<<<<<S<<<<<<W<<<<<<G<<<<<<<P<<<<<<<W7834F465C4DFB7001012M7001019<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 21 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Jiangsu Suning W
Metric
Guangxi Pingguo W
1.8
Goals For / Game
1
1.3
Goals Against / Game
2
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
7-1-2
W — D — L
0-2-3
Win Rate
70%
0%
3.1
Avg Goals
67%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
J0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
J1
1-0 9.0%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 6.0%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
J2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
J3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
J4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
J5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.8%) 1-0(9.0%) 2-0(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing J=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Jiangsu Suning W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Guangxi Pingguo W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Jiangsu Suning W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.7
Guangxi Pingguo W
Overall
1.2
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 41%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 31%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Jiangsu Suning W
13.06.26SL
Jiangsu Suning W3
Sichuan W2
W
17.05.26SL
Beijing Beikong W3
Jiangsu Suning W2
L
09.05.26SL
Jiangsu Suning W1
Shaanxi Changan W0
W
03.05.26SL
Jiangsu Suning W2
Changchun Dazhong W0
W
26.04.26SL
Shandong SL W1
Jiangsu Suning W2
W
28.09.25SL
Jiangsu Suning W3
Shaanxi Changan W1
W
21.09.25SL
Jiangsu Suning W3
Shandong SL W3
D
06.09.25SL
Changchun Dazhong W3
Jiangsu Suning W0
L
31.08.25SL
Yongchuan Chashan W0
Jiangsu Suning W1
W
23.08.25SL
Liaoning W0
Jiangsu Suning W1
W
Guangxi Pingguo W
14.06.26SL
Zhejiang W1
Guangxi Pingguo W0
L
16.05.26SL
Guangxi Pingguo W2
Guangdong Meizhou W2
D
09.05.26SL
Changchun Dazhong W1
Guangxi Pingguo W0
L
02.05.26SL
Shanghai RCB W4
Guangxi Pingguo W1
L
25.04.26SL
Guangxi Pingguo W2
Sichuan W2
D
Jiangsu Suning W (Home)
13.06.26SL
Jiangsu Suning W3
Sichuan W2
W
09.05.26SL
Jiangsu Suning W1
Shaanxi Changan W0
W
03.05.26SL
Jiangsu Suning W2
Changchun Dazhong W0
W
28.09.25SL
Jiangsu Suning W3
Shaanxi Changan W1
W
21.09.25SL
Jiangsu Suning W3
Shandong SL W3
D
16.08.25SL
Jiangsu Suning W3
Henan Songshan Longmen W0
W
09.08.25SL
Jiangsu Suning W2
Zhejiang W1
W
26.07.25SL
Jiangsu Suning W1
Shanghai RCB W1
D
21.06.25SL
Jiangsu Suning W0
Wuhan Jiangda W0
D
11.06.25SL
Jiangsu Suning W3
Guangdong Meizhou W0
W
Guangxi Pingguo W (Away)
14.06.26SL
Zhejiang W1
Guangxi Pingguo W0
L
09.05.26SL
Changchun Dazhong W1
Guangxi Pingguo W0
L
02.05.26SL
Shanghai RCB W4
Guangxi Pingguo W1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 20th June 2026, Jiangsu Suning W host Guangxi Pingguo W in China SL Women. Our analysis desk recommends Jiangsu Suning W to win as the standout selection.

Jiangsu Suning W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Guangxi Pingguo W are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 2D 3L across 5 matches.

Our verdict: jiangsu suning w to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The first question worth asking before any football bet is simple: what am I actually paying for here? The odds you see on any given market reflect how the bookmaker has priced the outcome based on a blend of algorithm, public money, and market positioning. They’re rarely wrong by a huge margin — but they’re also not perfectly calibrated. Edges exist. Finding them requires looking at the right things.

For this China SL Women clash, we’ve been through both teams in detail, and here’s where the value sits.

The home team’s seasonal form — W-L-W-W-W — is the anchor the market has built its price around. But what’s more instructive is the last five at home. This stretch tells us whether the home side are currently in a phase where they’re converting pressure into goals, whether they’re grinding tight wins, or whether they’ve been leaking results they shouldn’t be dropping. Each of those patterns carries a different implication for what’s likely to happen in this specific 90 minutes.

The away side has been travelling with an overall record of L-D-L-L-D this season. Again, the last five on the road is what we lean on for current intelligence. An away team that’s been quietly picking up points on the road in recent weeks is a very different proposition from one whose seasonal record is propped up by a strong run that ended three months ago.

Historical meetings between these clubs add texture to the analysis.:

Head-to-head data not available.

is the head-to-head picture, and those previous encounters often reveal persistent patterns in how these two teams match up against each other specifically — things you’d never spot by looking at their form against everyone else.

Factoring in the the host venue setting and a kickoff at 10:00 am, the recommendation that comes out of all of this is 1 at @@1.28. Probability estimate: 50,30,20%. That’s our play. Check our other selections across today’s card before you finalise anything.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 21 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Jiangsu Suning W vs Guangxi Pingguo W?
Our selection is 1 — Jiangsu Suning W to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Jiangsu Suning W's current form?
Jiangsu Suning W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Guangxi Pingguo W been performing recently?
Guangxi Pingguo W have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game.
⚠️
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