WON Case WON Grodig 3-1 Neumarkt
Fixture Case File · Ref V
G

Grodig

Home Side
L W W W W
8W 1D 1L ▲ Trending Up
VS
3-1
N
Neumarkt
Away Side
W L W L D
5W 2D 3L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
77%
Tuesday, 2nd June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Grodig to win
Grodig 60%
Draw 20%
Neumarkt 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob87.7%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-10.7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBG<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<N<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<E4987974A4DFB2609212M2609219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 3 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Grodig to win
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals85% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes75%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Grodig vs Neumarkt Competition: Austria Salzburg Date: Tuesday, 2nd June 2026 Pick: 1 (Grodig to win) Odds: 1.14 Confidence: 77% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (85%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (75%) Ledger Ref: E4987974A
Head to Head
Record
7
Grodig
0
Draws
0
Neumarkt
7
Meetings
5
Avg Goals
57%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Grodig won 7 of the last 7 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Grodig
Metric
Neumarkt
3.3
Goals For / Game
2
1.2
Goals Against / Game
2.2
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
8-1-1
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
80%
50%
4.4
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
G0
0-0 1.3%
0-1 2.1%
0-2 1.7%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
G1
1-0 3.6%
1-1 5.7%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
G2
2-0 4.9%
2-1 7.8%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 3.3%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
G3
3-0 4.5%
3-1 7.2%
3-2 5.7%
3-3 3.1%
3-4 1.2%
3-5 0.4%
G4
4-0 3.1%
4-1 4.9%
4-2 3.9%
4-3 2.1%
4-4 0.8%
4-5 0.3%
G5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 2.7%
5-2 2.2%
5-3 1.2%
5-4 0.5%
5-5 0.2%
Top Scores 2-1(7.8%) 3-1(7.2%) 3-2(5.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing G=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Grodig Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Neumarkt Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Grodig
Overall
8.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.0
Neumarkt
Overall
5.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
2.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 41%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 30%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.10.254L
Neumarkt0
Grodig4
06.06.254L
Neumarkt1
Grodig3
09.11.244L
Grodig5
Neumarkt0
10.01.15CF
Grodig6
Neumarkt2
14.01.14CF
Grodig5
Neumarkt1
08.05.10RL
Neumarkt1
Grodig4
27.09.09RL
Grodig3
Neumarkt0
Recent Form
Grodig
29.05.264L
Strasswalchen3
Grodig1
L
22.05.264L
Grodig4
Burmoos2
W
15.05.264L
UFC Siezenheim1
Grodig2
W
09.05.264L
Grodig4
USK Anif0
W
03.05.264L
Thalgau0
Grodig5
W
25.04.264L
Grodig2
UFC Hallein2
D
19.04.264L
TSU Bramberg0
Grodig4
W
10.04.264L
Grodig3
Union Henndorf2
W
04.04.264L
Hallwang1
Grodig5
W
27.03.264L
Grodig3
SV Anthering1
W
Neumarkt
29.05.264L
Neumarkt1
Puch1
D
22.05.264L
Schwarzach3
Neumarkt2
L
17.05.264L
Neumarkt1
Eugendorf5
L
09.05.264L
Neumarkt5
Strasswalchen3
W
30.04.264L
Burmoos1
Neumarkt1
D
24.04.264L
UFC Siezenheim0
Neumarkt1
W
19.04.264L
USK Anif1
Neumarkt2
W
10.04.264L
Neumarkt4
Thalgau1
W
03.04.264L
UFC Hallein6
Neumarkt0
L
29.03.264L
Neumarkt3
TSU Bramberg1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 2nd June 2026, Grodig host Neumarkt in Austria Salzburg. Our analysis desk recommends Grodig to win as the standout selection.

Grodig arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Neumarkt are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Grodig, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Neumarkt's 0, with 0 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 57% of those meetings.

Our verdict: grodig to win at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Austria Salzburg game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.14. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 3 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Grodig vs Neumarkt?
Our selection is 1 — Grodig to win, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Grodig's current form?
Grodig have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Neumarkt been performing recently?
Neumarkt have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Grodig lead with 7 wins versus Neumarkt's 0, with 0 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 57%.
⚠️
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