WON Case WON Chrobry Glogow 1-1 LKS Lodz
Fixture Case File · Ref V
C

Chrobry Glogow

Home Side
D W L W L
4W 2D 4L → Holding Steady
VS
1-1
L
LKS Lodz
Away Side
W L D W W
5W 3D 2L ▼ Trending Down
CASE VERIFIED
88%
Thursday, 28th May 2026 Case Verdict
Over 1.5
Filing on over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob76.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+11.1%Value detected
Kelly %48%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBC<<<<<<<G<<<<<<<<<<<<<LKS<L<<<<<<<<<<<<8463303F54DFB2609202M2609209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 28 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Chrobry Glogow vs LKS Lodz Competition: Poland Division 1 Date: Thursday, 28th May 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.30 Confidence: 88% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Ledger Ref: 8463303F5
Head to Head
Record
5
Chrobry Glogow
0
Draws
5
LKS Lodz
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Over 1.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Chrobry Glogow
Metric
LKS Lodz
1.3
Goals For / Game
2.1
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.3
0%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-2-4
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
40%
50%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
C0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 8.3%
0-2 7.3%
0-3 4.2%
0-4 1.9%
0-5 0.7%
C1
1-0 6.2%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 9.4%
1-3 5.5%
1-4 2.4%
1-5 0.8%
C2
2-0 4.0%
2-1 7.0%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 3.6%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.6%
C3
3-0 1.7%
3-1 3.0%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
C4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 1.0%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.8%) 1-2(9.4%) 0-1(8.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Chrobry Glogow
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
LKS Lodz
Overall
5.9
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.02.26DIV
LKS Lodz1
Chrobry Glogow3
25.09.25CUP
LKS Lodz5
Chrobry Glogow3
09.08.25DIV
Chrobry Glogow2
LKS Lodz1
14.03.25DIV
Chrobry Glogow1
LKS Lodz2
25.08.24DIV
LKS Lodz3
Chrobry Glogow0
25.02.23DIV
LKS Lodz5
Chrobry Glogow2
06.08.22DIV
Chrobry Glogow2
LKS Lodz3
22.04.22DIV
LKS Lodz0
Chrobry Glogow1
01.12.21DIV
Chrobry Glogow1
LKS Lodz0
01.05.21DIV
Chrobry Glogow1
LKS Lodz0
Recent Form
Chrobry Glogow
24.05.26DIV
Wieczysta Krakow1
Chrobry Glogow1
D
16.05.26DIV
Chrobry Glogow3
Pruszkow2
W
08.05.26DIV
Wisla2
Chrobry Glogow0
L
03.05.26DIV
Chrobry Glogow3
Tychy2
W
25.04.26DIV
Polonia Warszawa1
Chrobry Glogow0
L
17.04.26DIV
Chrobry Glogow2
Stal Mielec1
W
11.04.26DIV
Leczna1
Chrobry Glogow0
L
06.04.26DIV
Chrobry Glogow1
Ruch Chorzow1
D
22.03.26DIV
Pogon Siedlce1
Chrobry Glogow2
W
13.03.26DIV
Chrobry Glogow1
Puszcza2
L
LKS Lodz
24.05.26DIV
LKS Lodz3
Leczna1
W
18.05.26DIV
Puszcza1
LKS Lodz0
L
11.05.26DIV
Slask Wroclaw2
LKS Lodz2
D
07.05.26DIV
LKS Lodz3
Grodzisk M.2
W
02.05.26DIV
LKS Lodz4
Pogon Siedlce0
W
25.04.26DIV
LKS Lodz2
S. Rzeszow1
W
18.04.26DIV
Tychy3
LKS Lodz2
L
04.04.26DIV
Wieczysta Krakow0
LKS Lodz2
W
21.03.26DIV
LKS Lodz2
Ruch Chorzow2
D
15.03.26DIV
LKS Lodz1
Odra Opole1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 28th May 2026, Chrobry Glogow host LKS Lodz in Poland Division 1. Our analysis desk recommends over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Chrobry Glogow arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

LKS Lodz are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 3D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Chrobry Glogow, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to LKS Lodz's 5, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Poland Division 1 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 1.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.30. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 28 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Chrobry Glogow vs LKS Lodz?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 88%.
What is Chrobry Glogow's current form?
Chrobry Glogow have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has LKS Lodz been performing recently?
LKS Lodz have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Chrobry Glogow lead with 5 wins versus LKS Lodz's 5, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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