WON Case WON SV Oberwart 3-0 Traiskirchen
Fixture Case File · Ref V
S

SV Oberwart

Home Side
W W L W W
6W 2D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
3-0
T
Traiskirchen
Away Side
W W W W W
5W 2D 3L ▼ Trending Down
CASE VERIFIED
84%
Friday, 22nd May 2026 Case Verdict
Over 2.5
Filing on over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob69.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+14.1%Value detected
Kelly %46.8%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBSV<O<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<T<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<0E9C4F7114DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 23 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
SV Oberwart vs Traiskirchen Competition: Austria Regionalliga East Date: Friday, 22nd May 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.43 Confidence: 84% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ledger Ref: 0E9C4F711
Head to Head
Record
2
SV Oberwart
0
Draws
3
Traiskirchen
5
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
SV Oberwart
Metric
Traiskirchen
2.6
Goals For / Game
2.1
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.5
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-2-2
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
60%
50%
3.7
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
S0
0-0 2.6%
0-1 4.2%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
S1
1-0 5.3%
1-1 8.5%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.5%
1-5 0.5%
S2
2-0 5.5%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 7.0%
2-3 3.7%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.5%
S3
3-0 3.7%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 2.6%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.3%
S4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 2.5%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
S5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(8.7%) 1-1(8.5%) 2-2(7.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing S=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
SV Oberwart
Overall
6.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.3
Traiskirchen
Overall
5.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 31%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.11.25RL
Traiskirchen4
SV Oberwart1
30.05.25RL
Traiskirchen1
SV Oberwart2
01.11.24RL
SV Oberwart1
Traiskirchen0
03.05.24RL
SV Oberwart2
Traiskirchen5
06.10.23RL
Traiskirchen3
SV Oberwart1
Recent Form
SV Oberwart
15.05.26RL
Wiener Sport-Club0
SV Oberwart2
W
08.05.26RL
SV Oberwart4
Favoritner1
W
01.05.26RL
Sportunion Mauer5
SV Oberwart3
L
24.04.26RL
SV Oberwart4
Retz0
W
17.04.26RL
Gloggnitz0
SV Oberwart4
W
14.04.26RL
Parndorf0
SV Oberwart0
D
10.04.26RL
SV Oberwart4
Leobendorf0
W
06.04.26RL
Neusiedl2
SV Oberwart1
L
27.03.26RL
SV Oberwart2
SV Donau2
D
20.03.26RL
Marchfeld1
SV Oberwart2
W
Traiskirchen
15.05.26RL
SV Donau2
Traiskirchen3
W
08.05.26RL
Marchfeld1
Traiskirchen3
W
30.04.26RL
Traiskirchen3
TWL Elektra0
W
24.04.26RL
Horn0
Traiskirchen3
W
17.04.26RL
Traiskirchen3
Donaufeld Wien2
W
10.04.26RL
Parndorf2
Traiskirchen0
L
07.04.26RL
Traiskirchen0
Kremser1
L
04.04.26RL
Wiener Viktoria2
Traiskirchen2
D
20.03.26RL
Traiskirchen2
Wiener Sport-Club2
D
13.03.26RL
Favoritner3
Traiskirchen2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Friday, 22nd May 2026, SV Oberwart host Traiskirchen in Austria Regionalliga East. Our analysis desk recommends over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

SV Oberwart arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Traiskirchen are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour SV Oberwart, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Traiskirchen's 3, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.43 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Austria Regionalliga East game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 2.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.43. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 23 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for SV Oberwart vs Traiskirchen?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 84%.
What is SV Oberwart's current form?
SV Oberwart have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Traiskirchen been performing recently?
Traiskirchen have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
SV Oberwart lead with 2 wins versus Traiskirchen's 3, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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