LOST Case LOST Spartak Moscow U19 2-2 Rubin Kazan U19
Fixture Case File · Ref V
S

Spartak Moscow U19

Home Side
D D L W D
4W 4D 2L ▲ Trending Up
VS
2-2
R
Rubin Kazan U19
Away Side
W L D L L
1W 2D 7L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
78%
Friday, 22nd May 2026 Case Verdict
Over 1.5
Filing on over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob84.7%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-6.7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBS<<<<<<<M<<<<<<U19<<<<R<<<<<K<<<<<U19<<39D6033E94DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 23 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Spartak Moscow U19 vs Rubin Kazan U19 Competition: Russia Youth League Date: Friday, 22nd May 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 78% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ledger Ref: 39D6033E9
Head to Head
Record
4
Spartak Moscow U19
6
Draws
0
Rubin Kazan U19
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Neutral Over 1.5 in 50% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Spartak Moscow U19
Metric
Rubin Kazan U19
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.6
Goals Against / Game
2.5
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-4-2
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
40%
10%
3.7
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
S0
0-0 2.6%
0-1 3.8%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 5.7%
1-1 8.3%
1-2 6.0%
1-3 2.9%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
S2
2-0 6.3%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 6.6%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.3%
S3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 6.7%
3-2 4.9%
3-3 2.3%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
S4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 3.7%
4-2 2.7%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.6%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.1%) 1-1(8.3%) 3-1(6.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing S=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Spartak Moscow U19
Overall
5.2
Scoring
6.3
Defence
4.7
Rubin Kazan U19
Overall
1.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
1.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 25%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 27%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.07.25YL
Rubin Kazan U190
Spartak Moscow U190
07.03.25YL
Spartak Moscow U191
Rubin Kazan U190
09.08.24YL
Spartak Moscow U192
Rubin Kazan U190
03.05.24YL
Rubin Kazan U190
Spartak Moscow U191
10.11.23YL
Spartak Moscow U192
Rubin Kazan U192
05.11.21YL
Rubin Kazan U190
Spartak Moscow U190
17.09.21YL
Spartak Moscow U192
Rubin Kazan U192
12.05.21YL
Rubin Kazan U192
Spartak Moscow U192
07.04.21YL
Spartak Moscow U192
Rubin Kazan U192
18.10.19YL
Spartak Moscow U191
Rubin Kazan U190
Recent Form
Spartak Moscow U19
15.05.26YL
Ural U193
Spartak Moscow U193
D
07.05.26YL
Spartak Moscow U192
Zenit U192
D
01.05.26YL
Krasnodar U193
Spartak Moscow U190
L
24.04.26YL
Spartak Moscow U193
FK Rostov U190
W
17.04.26YL
Rodina Moscow U190
Spartak Moscow U190
D
10.04.26YL
Spartak Moscow U193
Chertanovo M. U190
W
03.04.26YL
CSKA Moscow U192
Spartak Moscow U190
L
20.03.26YL
Spartak Moscow U194
Fakel Voronezh U193
W
13.03.26YL
Dynamo Moscow U191
Spartak Moscow U191
D
06.03.26YL
Spartak Moscow U193
Nizhny Novgorod U192
W
Rubin Kazan U19
15.05.26YL
Rubin Kazan U193
Dynamo Makhachkala U191
W
07.05.26YL
Rubin Kazan U192
Konoplev Academy U193
L
01.05.26YL
Ural U191
Rubin Kazan U191
D
24.04.26YL
Rubin Kazan U191
Zenit U194
L
17.04.26YL
Krasnodar U195
Rubin Kazan U191
L
10.04.26YL
Rubin Kazan U190
FK Rostov U191
L
03.04.26YL
Rodina Moscow U193
Rubin Kazan U191
L
20.03.26YL
Rubin Kazan U190
Chertanovo M. U190
D
13.03.26YL
Rubin Kazan U192
CSKA Moscow U194
L
06.03.26YL
Rubin Kazan U192
Fakel Voronezh U193
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Friday, 22nd May 2026, Spartak Moscow U19 host Rubin Kazan U19 in Russia Youth League. Our analysis desk recommends over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Spartak Moscow U19 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Rubin Kazan U19 are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Spartak Moscow U19, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Rubin Kazan U19's 0, with 6 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Russia Youth League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 1.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.18. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 23 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Spartak Moscow U19 vs Rubin Kazan U19?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 78%.
What is Spartak Moscow U19's current form?
Spartak Moscow U19 have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rubin Kazan U19 been performing recently?
Rubin Kazan U19 have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Spartak Moscow U19 lead with 4 wins versus Rubin Kazan U19's 0, with 6 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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