WON Case WON Zalaegerszegi 4-0 Kazincbarcika
Fixture Case File · Ref V
Z

Zalaegerszegi

Home Side
L W W D W
6W 3D 1L → Holding Steady
VS
4-0
K
Kazincbarcika
Away Side
L L W L W
2W 0D 8L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
55%
Saturday, 18th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Zalaegerszegi to win
Zalaegerszegi 50%
Draw 30%
Kazincbarcika 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob71.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-16.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBZ<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<K<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<3D752B0964DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 18 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Zalaegerszegi to win
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals95%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Zalaegerszegi vs Kazincbarcika Competition: Hungary NB 1 Date: Saturday, 18th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Zalaegerszegi to win) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 55% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Ledger Ref: 3D752B096
Head to Head
Record
4
Zalaegerszegi
2
Draws
1
Kazincbarcika
7
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
29%
BTTS
29%
Over 2.5
Neutral Zalaegerszegi won 4 of the last 7 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Zalaegerszegi
Metric
Kazincbarcika
1.5
Goals For / Game
1
0.9
Goals Against / Game
2.7
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-3-1
W — D — L
2-0-8
Win Rate
60%
20%
3.1
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
Z0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
Z1
1-0 10.0%
1-1 9.5%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
Z2
2-0 10.4%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
Z3
3-0 7.3%
3-1 6.9%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
Z4
4-0 3.8%
4-1 3.7%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
Z5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(10.4%) 1-0(10.0%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing Z=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Zalaegerszegi Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Kazincbarcika Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Zalaegerszegi
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
Kazincbarcika
Overall
2.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
1.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.01.26NB I
Kazincbarcika0
Zalaegerszegi1
27.09.25NB I
Zalaegerszegi5
Kazincbarcika0
19.10.22Magyar Kupa
Kazincbarcika0
Zalaegerszegi2
14.04.19NB II
Zalaegerszegi1
Kazincbarcika0
21.10.18NB II
Kazincbarcika1
Zalaegerszegi1
06.05.18NB II
Zalaegerszegi2
Kazincbarcika2
29.10.17NB II
Kazincbarcika2
Zalaegerszegi0
Recent Form
Zalaegerszegi
11.04.26NB I
MTK Budapest3
Zalaegerszegi0
L
04.04.26NB I
Zalaegerszegi2
Kisvarda0
W
21.03.26NB I
Zalaegerszegi2
Ujpest0
W
14.03.26NB I
Paks1
Zalaegerszegi1
D
07.03.26NB I
Zalaegerszegi2
Gyor1
W
04.03.26Magyar Kupa
Zalaegerszegi1
Soroksar0
W
28.02.26NB I
DVTK1
Zalaegerszegi1
D
22.02.26NB I
Zalaegerszegi1
Debrecen1
D
14.02.26NB I
Zalaegerszegi3
Ferencvaros1
W
11.02.26Magyar Kupa
Zalaegerszegi2
Vasas1
W
Kazincbarcika
11.04.26NB I
Kazincbarcika0
Ujpest3
L
04.04.26NB I
Paks5
Kazincbarcika1
L
27.03.26Club Friendly
Gesztely0
Kazincbarcika3
W
22.03.26NB I
Kazincbarcika1
Gyor3
L
13.03.26NB I
DVTK0
Kazincbarcika4
W
08.03.26NB I
Kazincbarcika0
Debrecen3
L
04.03.26Magyar Kupa
Kazincbarcika0
Ferencvaros5
L
01.03.26NB I
Ferencvaros2
Kazincbarcika1
L
21.02.26NB I
Kazincbarcika0
Puskas Academy2
L
15.02.26NB I
Kazincbarcika0
Nyiregyhaza4
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 18th April 2026, Zalaegerszegi host Kazincbarcika in Hungary NB 1. Our analysis desk recommends Zalaegerszegi to win as the standout selection.

Zalaegerszegi arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kazincbarcika are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 0D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zalaegerszegi, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Kazincbarcika's 1, with 2 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 29% of those meetings.

Our verdict: zalaegerszegi to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Hungary NB 1 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.39. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 18 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zalaegerszegi vs Kazincbarcika?
Our selection is 1 — Zalaegerszegi to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Zalaegerszegi's current form?
Zalaegerszegi have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kazincbarcika been performing recently?
Kazincbarcika have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zalaegerszegi lead with 4 wins versus Kazincbarcika's 1, with 2 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 29%.
⚠️
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