LOST Case LOST Borac Banja 2-2 Velez Mostar
Fixture Case File ยท Ref V โšฝ
B

Borac Banja

Home Side
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L โ–ผ Trending Down
VS
2-2
V
Velez Mostar
Away Side
W D W L L
6W 1D 3L โ†’ Holding Steady
โš‘
MODERATE
60%
Saturday, 18th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Borac Banja to win
Borac Banja 50%
Draw 30%
Velez Mostar 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob70.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-10.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBB<<<<<B<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<V<<<<<M<<<<<<<<<<843F383A34DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst ยท Last checked 18 Apr 2026
โœ“ Data-Audited โœ“ Independently Checked
โšก
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 โ€” Borac Banja to win
1.41
BTTS โ€” No80% Borac Banja Clean Sheet90%
๐Ÿ“‹ Case Slip / Combo Builder
Borac Banja vs Velez Mostar Competition: Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH Date: Saturday, 18th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Borac Banja to win) Odds: 1.41 Confidence: 60% Also: BTTS โ€” No (80%) Also: Borac Banja Clean Sheet (90%) Ledger Ref: 843F383A3
โš”
Head to Head
Record
4
Borac Banja
5
Draws
1
Velez Mostar
10
Meetings
1.3
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
10%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Borac Banja won 4 of the last 10 meetings (5 draws).
๐Ÿ“Š
Stats Duel
Comparison
Borac Banja
Metric
Velez Mostar
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.1
Goals Against / Game
0.6
90%
Clean Sheets
40%
9-1-0
W โ€” D โ€” L
6-1-3
Win Rate
90%
60%
2.2
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
๐ŸŽฏ
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
B0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 8.3%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 16.1%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 1.1%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
B2
2-0 11.7%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
B3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 4.2%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.1%) 2-0(11.7%) 2-1(8.7%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts filing B=Home goals โ†“   V=Away โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Borac Banja Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Velez Mostar Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Team Ratings
Grades
Borac Banja
Overall
9.3 โ–ผ
Scoring
7.7 โ–ผ
Defence
9.7 โ–ผ
Velez Mostar
Overall
6.3 โ–ฒ
Scoring
4.7 โ–ฒ
Defence
8.0 โ–ฒ
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 45%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 30%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
๐Ÿงฎ
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”Ž How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter โ€” a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee โ€” it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

๐Ÿ“ Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds โ€” no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status โ€” nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
๐Ÿ“œ
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.02.26Premier League
Velez Mostar0
Borac Banja Luka0
19.10.25Premier League
Borac Banja Luka1
Velez Mostar0
03.08.25Premier League
Velez Mostar1
Borac Banja Luka1
10.05.25Premier League
Borac Banja Luka1
Velez Mostar0
02.11.24Premier League
Velez Mostar0
Borac Banja Luka0
12.10.24Premier League
Borac Banja Luka2
Velez Mostar1
07.04.24Premier League
Velez Mostar1
Borac Banja Luka1
24.02.24Premier League
Velez Mostar0
Borac Banja Luka0
01.10.23Premier League
Borac Banja Luka2
Velez Mostar0
01.05.23Premier League
Velez Mostar2
Borac Banja Luka0
Recent Form
Borac Banja
10.04.26Wwin Liga BiH
Rudar Prijedor0
Borac Banja Luka2
W
04.04.26Wwin Liga BiH
Posusje0
Borac Banja Luka3
W
21.03.26Wwin Liga BiH
Borac Banja Luka1
Radnik Bijeljina0
W
14.03.26Wwin Liga BiH
Zeljeznicar0
Borac Banja Luka1
W
07.03.26Wwin Liga BiH
Borac Banja Luka5
Siroki Brijeg1
W
28.02.26Wwin Liga BiH
Borac Banja Luka2
FK Sarajevo0
W
20.02.26Wwin Liga BiH
Sloga Meridian0
Borac Banja Luka4
W
14.02.26Wwin Liga BiH
Borac Banja Luka3
Zrinjski0
W
07.02.26Wwin Liga BiH
Velez Mostar0
Borac Banja Luka0
D
25.01.26Club Friendly
Borac Banja Luka2
Pelister0
W
Velez Mostar
15.04.26BiH Cup
Sloga Meridian0
Velez Mostar3
W
11.04.26Wwin Liga BiH
Velez Mostar0
Sloga Meridian0
D
08.04.26BiH Cup
Velez Mostar3
Sloga Meridian1
W
03.04.26Wwin Liga BiH
Velez Mostar0
Zrinjski1
L
22.03.26Wwin Liga BiH
FK Sarajevo1
Velez Mostar0
L
15.03.26Wwin Liga BiH
Rudar Prijedor1
Velez Mostar2
W
11.03.26BiH Cup
Velez Mostar4
FK Sarajevo1
W
06.03.26Wwin Liga BiH
Velez Mostar1
Posusje0
W
28.02.26Wwin Liga BiH
Radnik Bijeljina1
Velez Mostar0
L
25.02.26BiH Cup
FK Sarajevo0
Velez Mostar1
W
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 18th April 2026, Borac Banja host Velez Mostar in Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH. Our analysis desk recommends Borac Banja to win as the standout selection.

Borac Banja arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Velez Mostar are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Borac Banja, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Velez Mostar's 1, with 5 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: borac banja to win at odds of 1.41 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.41. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 18 Apr 2026
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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Borac Banja vs Velez Mostar?
Our selection is 1 โ€” Borac Banja to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Borac Banja's current form?
Borac Banja have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Velez Mostar been performing recently?
Velez Mostar have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Borac Banja lead with 4 wins versus Velez Mostar's 1, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
โš ๏ธ
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