WON Case WON Al Seeb 2-1 Sur Club
Fixture Case File · Ref V
A

Al Seeb

Home Side
W W L W D
6W 2D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
2-1
S
Sur Club
Away Side
W D L D D
2W 6D 2L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
58%
Saturday, 18th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Al Seeb to win
Al Seeb 50%
Draw 30%
Sur Club 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob80.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-22.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBA<<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<C<<<<<<<<<<<<C0359542B4DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 18 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Al Seeb to win
1.24
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No65% Al Seeb Clean Sheet60%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Al Seeb vs Sur Club Competition: Oman Professional League Date: Saturday, 18th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Seeb to win) Odds: 1.24 Confidence: 58% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (65%) Also: Al Seeb Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: C0359542B
Head to Head
Record
7
Al Seeb
1
Draws
2
Sur Club
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Al Seeb won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Seeb
Metric
Sur Club
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.5
Goals Against / Game
0.8
60%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-2-2
W — D — L
2-6-2
Win Rate
60%
20%
1.8
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
A0
0-0 16.5%
0-1 10.7%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 19.0%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 4.0%
1-3 0.9%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 10.9%
2-1 7.1%
2-2 2.3%
2-3 0.5%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 4.2%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 0.9%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(19.0%) 2-0(10.9%) 2-1(7.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Seeb Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Sur Club Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Seeb
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
8.3
Sur Club
Overall
3.8
Scoring
2.7
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 15%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.12.25Oman League
Sur Club0
Al Seeb3
10.10.25Oman FA Cup
Sur Club2
Al Seeb1
10.02.25Oman League
Sur Club1
Al Seeb2
25.08.24Oman League
Al Seeb1
Sur Club0
22.04.24Oman League
Sur Club3
Al Seeb1
11.10.23Oman League
Al Seeb1
Sur Club0
15.02.23Oman League
Sur Club0
Al Seeb1
30.08.22Oman League
Al Seeb2
Sur Club1
10.02.22Oman Cup
Al Seeb3
Sur Club0
19.01.22Oman Cup
Sur Club0
Al Seeb0
Recent Form
Al Seeb
10.04.26OPL
Saham Club0
Al Seeb2
W
05.04.26OPL
Al Seeb2
Samail Club1
W
31.03.26Oman FA Cup
Al Seeb0
Sohar SC1
L
17.03.26OPL
Bahla Club0
Al Seeb2
W
12.03.26OPL
Al Seeb0
Al Nasr0
D
06.03.26OPL
Sohar SC0
Al Seeb1
W
21.02.26OPL
Al Seeb3
Oman Club0
W
15.02.26OPL
Al Khaboora0
Al Seeb3
W
07.02.26OPL
Ibri Club1
Al Seeb0
L
02.02.26OPL
Al Seeb2
Al-Shabab2
D
Sur Club
12.04.26OPL
Sur Club1
Dhofar0
W
06.04.26OPL
Al-Rustaq1
Sur Club1
D
31.03.26Oman FA Cup
Al Nahda3
Sur Club2
L
17.03.26OPL
Sur Club1
Al Nahda1
D
11.03.26OPL
Sur Club0
Saham0
D
06.03.26OPL
Al-Samail0
Sur Club0
D
22.02.26OPL
Sur Club2
Bahla1
W
15.02.26OPL
Al Nasr1
Sur Club0
L
08.02.26OPL
Sohar1
Sur Club1
D
03.02.26OPL
Sur Club0
Oman Club0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 18th April 2026, Al Seeb host Sur Club in Oman Professional League. Our analysis desk recommends Al Seeb to win as the standout selection.

Al Seeb arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Sur Club are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 6D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Seeb, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Sur Club's 2, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al seeb to win at odds of 1.24 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Oman Professional League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.24. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 18 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Seeb vs Sur Club?
Our selection is 1 — Al Seeb to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Al Seeb's current form?
Al Seeb have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sur Club been performing recently?
Sur Club have recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Seeb lead with 7 wins versus Sur Club's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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