WON Case WON Hertha Berlin II 3-1 Hertha Zehlendorf
Fixture Case File · Ref V
H

Hertha Berlin II

Home Side
W W L L L
6W 0D 4L ▲ Trending Up
VS
3-1
H
Hertha Zehlendorf
Away Side
L L L L W
1W 3D 6L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
60%
Tuesday, 14th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Hertha Berlin II to win
Hertha Berlin II 50%
Draw 30%
Hertha Zehlendorf 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob74.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-14.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBH<<<<<<B<<<<<<II<<<<<<H<<<<<<Z<<<<<<<<<4DE241AA24DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 14 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Hertha Berlin II to win
1.34
BTTS — No65%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Hertha Berlin II vs Hertha Zehlendorf Competition: Germany Regionalliga Nordost Date: Tuesday, 14th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Hertha Berlin II to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 60% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Ledger Ref: 4DE241AA2
Head to Head
Record
3
Hertha Berlin II
1
Draws
0
Hertha Zehlendorf
4
Meetings
5.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Hertha Berlin II won 3 of the last 4 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Hertha Berlin II
Metric
Hertha Zehlendorf
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.2
Goals Against / Game
2.4
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-0-4
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
60%
10%
3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
H0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
H1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 4.2%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
H2
2-0 11.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
H3
3-0 7.7%
3-1 6.9%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
H4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
H5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(11.0%) 1-0(10.5%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing H=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Hertha Berlin II Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Hertha Zehlendorf Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Hertha Berlin II
Overall
6.0
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.0
Hertha Zehlendorf
Overall
1.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
2.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 46%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.08.25
Regionalliga Nordost: Hertha Zehlendorf2
Hertha Berlin II2
18.05.25
Regionalliga Nordost: Hertha Zehlendorf4
Hertha Berlin II0
01.12.24
Regionalliga Nordost: Hertha Berlin II3
Hertha Zehlendorf0
07.08.19
Friendlies: Hertha Zehlendorf4
Hertha Berlin II6
Recent Form
Hertha Berlin II
11.04.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Chemnitzer FC0
Hertha Berlin II1
W
05.04.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Hertha Berlin II2
Magdeburg II1
W
24.03.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Zwickau2
Hertha Berlin II0
L
20.03.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Erfurt3
Hertha Berlin II2
L
15.03.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Lokomotive Leipzig4
Hertha Berlin II0
L
10.03.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Hertha Berlin II0
Greifswald1
L
06.03.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Hertha Berlin II5
BFC Preussen0
W
03.03.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Eilenburg0
Hertha Berlin II1
W
27.02.26
Regionalliga Nordost: BFC Dynamo1
Hertha Berlin II3
W
23.01.26
Friendlies: Hertha Berlin II4
Babelsberg0
W
Hertha Zehlendorf
11.04.26
Regionalliga Nordost: BFC Dynamo5
Hertha Zehlendorf1
L
07.04.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Hertha Zehlendorf0
Chemie Leipzig5
L
04.04.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Babelsberg4
Hertha Zehlendorf0
L
01.04.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Hertha Zehlendorf0
Carl Zeiss Jena3
L
25.03.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Lokomotive Leipzig0
Hertha Zehlendorf2
W
22.03.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Hertha Zehlendorf0
Eilenburg0
D
13.03.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Zwickau1
Hertha Zehlendorf0
L
08.03.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Hertha Zehlendorf1
Luckenwalde1
D
04.03.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Hertha Zehlendorf1
Hallescher FC4
L
01.03.26
Regionalliga Nordost: Hertha Zehlendorf1
Meuselwitz1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 14th April 2026, Hertha Berlin II host Hertha Zehlendorf in Germany Regionalliga Nordost. Our analysis desk recommends Hertha Berlin II to win as the standout selection.

Hertha Berlin II arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hertha Zehlendorf are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Hertha Berlin II, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Hertha Zehlendorf's 0, with 1 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: hertha berlin ii to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Germany Regionalliga Nordost game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.34. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 14 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Hertha Berlin II vs Hertha Zehlendorf?
Our selection is 1 — Hertha Berlin II to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Hertha Berlin II's current form?
Hertha Berlin II have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hertha Zehlendorf been performing recently?
Hertha Zehlendorf have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hertha Berlin II lead with 3 wins versus Hertha Zehlendorf's 0, with 1 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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