LOST Case LOST France U19 W 2-2 Ireland U19 W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
F

France U19 W

Home Side
W W D W W
6W 2D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
2-2
I
Ireland U19 W
Away Side
L L D W L
2W 1D 7L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
62%
Monday, 13th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on France U19 W to win
France U19 W 50%
Draw 30%
Ireland U19 W 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob85.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-23.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBF<<<<<<U19<W<<<<<<<<<<I<<<<<<<U19<W<<<<A10543CBD4DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 13 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — France U19 W to win
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
France U19 W vs Ireland U19 W Competition: Euro U19 Women Date: Monday, 13th April 2026 Pick: 1 (France U19 W to win) Odds: 1.17 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ledger Ref: A10543CBD
Head to Head
Record
3
France U19 W
0
Draws
0
Ireland U19 W
3
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing France U19 W won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
France U19 W
Metric
Ireland U19 W
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.5
Goals Against / Game
2.1
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-2-2
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
60%
20%
3.2
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
I0
I1
I2
I3
I4
I5
F0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
F1
1-0 7.5%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 3.1%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
F2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
F3
3-0 4.3%
3-1 5.8%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
F4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.4%) 1-0(7.5%) 2-0(7.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing F=Home goals ↓   I=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
France U19 W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Ireland U19 W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
France U19 W
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
5.0
Ireland U19 W
Overall
2.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
3.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 44%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.04.25
Euro U19 Qual: Ireland1
France2
10.10.22
Euro U19 Qual: Ireland0
France1
09.04.22
Euro U19 Qual: France3
Ireland0
Recent Form
France U19 W
10.04.26
Euro U19 Qual: France2
Slovakia1
W
06.03.26
Friendlies: France2
Norway1
W
03.03.26
Friendlies: France1
Italy1
D
02.12.25
Euro U19 Qual: Wales1
France3
W
29.11.25
Euro U19 Qual: France3
Finland2
W
26.11.25
Euro U19 Qual: France1
Turkey0
W
28.10.25
Friendlies: Spain0
France0
D
25.10.25
Friendlies: Spain2
France0
L
27.06.25
Euro U19 Champ: France0
Spain4
L
24.06.25
Euro U19 Champ: France4
Portugal3
W
Ireland U19 W
10.04.26
Euro U19 Qual: Ireland0
Germany3
L
05.03.26
Friendlies: Ireland1
Switzerland3
L
02.03.26
Friendlies: Switzerland1
Ireland1
D
02.12.25
Euro U19 Qual: Bulgaria1
Ireland4
W
29.11.25
Euro U19 Qual: Poland3
Ireland0
L
26.11.25
Euro U19 Qual: Ireland1
Sweden3
L
16.11.25
Friendlies: N. Ireland1
Ireland4
W
25.10.25
Friendlies: Ireland0
USA1
L
22.10.25
Friendlies: Portugal3
Ireland0
L
08.04.25
Euro U19 Qual: Ireland1
France2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 13th April 2026, France U19 W host Ireland U19 W in Euro U19 Women. Our analysis desk recommends France U19 W to win as the standout selection.

France U19 W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ireland U19 W are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour France U19 W, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Ireland U19 W's 0, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: france u19 w to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Euro U19 Women game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.17. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 13 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for France U19 W vs Ireland U19 W?
Our selection is 1 — France U19 W to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is France U19 W's current form?
France U19 W have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ireland U19 W been performing recently?
Ireland U19 W have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
France U19 W lead with 3 wins versus Ireland U19 W's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
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