LOST Case LOST Didube 1-3 Gardabani
Fixture Case File · Ref V
D

Didube

Home Side
W D L L D
3W 4D 3L → Holding Steady
VS
1-3
G
Gardabani
Away Side
L D L L L
0W 2D 8L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
90%
Thursday, 26th March 2026 Case Verdict
1X
Filing on Didube to win or draw
Implied Prob88.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+1.5%Value detected
Kelly %13.1%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBD<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<G<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<7E63AB7574DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 26 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
1
Didube
1
Draws
0
Gardabani
2
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Didube
Metric
Gardabani
1.6
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2.8
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
3-4-3
W — D — L
0-2-8
Win Rate
30%
0%
3.2
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
D0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 4.1%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
D1
1-0 9.0%
1-1 9.0%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 9.9%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
D3
3-0 7.2%
3-1 7.2%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 4.0%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 1.8%
5-1 1.8%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(9.9%) 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing D=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Didube
Overall
4.2
Scoring
5.3
Defence
5.3
Gardabani
Overall
0.6
Scoring
2.0
Defence
0.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 25%
Draw & BTTS No 25%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 28%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
16.10.25
LI3: Gardabani1
Didube1
15.05.25
LI3: Didube2
Gardabani0
Recent Form
Didube
12.03.26
LI3: Betlemi0
Didube2
W
05.03.26
LI3: Didube0
Merani Tbilisi0
D
05.12.25
LI3: Shturmi6
Didube4
L
28.11.25
LI3: Didube0
Dusheti3
L
20.11.25
LI3: Margveti 20060
Didube0
D
13.11.25
LI3: Didube1
Odishi 19192
L
06.11.25
LI3: Didube5
Bakhmaro0
W
30.10.25
LI3: Borjomi1
Didube2
W
23.10.25
LI3: Didube1
Tbilisi 20251
D
16.10.25
LI3: Gardabani1
Didube1
D
Gardabani
12.03.26
LI3: Gardabani0
Orbi1
L
05.03.26
LI3: WIT Georgia0
Gardabani0
D
05.12.25
LI3: Gori5
Gardabani0
L
28.11.25
LI3: Gardabani1
Orbi2
L
20.11.25
LI3: Khobi6
Gardabani1
L
13.11.25
LI3: Gardabani0
WIT Georgia1
L
06.11.25
LI3: Shturmi5
Gardabani0
L
30.10.25
LI3: Gardabani2
Dusheti5
L
23.10.25
LI3: Margveti 20062
Gardabani1
L
16.10.25
LI3: Gardabani1
Didube1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 26th March 2026, Didube host Gardabani in Georgia Liga 3. Our analysis desk recommends Didube to win or draw as the standout selection.

Didube arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Gardabani are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 2D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Didube, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Gardabani's 0, with 1 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: didube to win or draw at odds of 1.13 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Georgia Liga 3 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1X, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.13. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 26 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Didube vs Gardabani?
Our selection is 1X — Didube to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Didube's current form?
Didube have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gardabani been performing recently?
Gardabani have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Didube lead with 1 wins versus Gardabani's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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